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Dollar climbs ahead of inflation data; cryptos crumble
Global Banking & Finance Review®
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By Rae Wee
SINGAPORE (Reuters) – The dollar inched higher ahead of U.S. inflation data due later on Thursday, while cryptocurrencies remained under pressure after crypto exchange Binance scrapped plans to rescue its ailing rival FTX.
The greenback surged on Wednesday against its peers but later pared some of those gains, with investors also digesting the U.S. midterm election results.
The dollar index, which tracks the currency against major peers, was last up 0.11% to 110.48.
All eyes were on U.S. inflation figures due later on Thursday, which could have a big impact on the scale of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s future interest rate hikes. Economists polled by Reuters expect the headline consumer price index to show an 8% year-on-year rise in October, down from 8.2% in September.
“I think the biggest risk going into today’s U.S. CPI release is for the markets to be over-reading it. There is potential for a softer print, no doubt, but the Fed has already communicated a downshift in its rate hike trajectory without exiting its hawkish bent,” said Charu Chanana, market strategist at Saxo Markets.
The euro slipped below parity and last stood 0.18% lower at $0.9992. Sterling gained 0.32% to $1.1396, making a partial recovery from a 1.6% slide in the previous session.
The dollar has lost some steam over the past few weeks on hopes that the Fed could begin making smaller interest rate hikes from as soon as December.
The Japanese yen edged higher to 146.22 per dollar on Thursday. It hit a roughly two-week high of 145.18 in the previous session before ceding its gains.
A crisis in the crypto world also hurt risk sentiment and supported the dollar, analysts said.
The Binance exchange on Wednesday abandoned a bailout deal of its rival FTX, leaving FTX Chief Executive Officer Sam Bankman-Fried scrambling to explore all options for his firm.
Just a day earlier, Binance had signed a nonbinding agreement to buy FTX’s non-U.S. unit to help cover a “liquidity crunch”.
“I do think there’s been a bit of contagion from what’s been going on in crypto … It does seem to be having something of an unsettling effect,” said Ray Attrill, head of FX strategy at National Australia Bank.
FTX’s native token, FTT, was last 123% higher for the day at $3.394, though its month-to-date loss remained more than 85%.
Bitcoin rose 5% to $16,690, after plunging below $16,000 for the first time since late 2020 in the previous session. It has tumbled more than 60% this year.
The latest results from Tuesday’s U.S. midterm elections showed Republicans were edging closer to securing a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives. Yet control of the Senate hung in the balance after Democrats performed better than expected.
Elsewhere, the Aussie dollar edged 0.26% lower to $0.6414 while the kiwi was down 0.23% at $0.587. Both had fallen more than 1% in Wednesday trading.
(Reporting by Rae Wee; Editing by Simon Cameron-Moore and Mark Heinrich)
Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power. It is typically measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
A currency index measures the value of a currency relative to a basket of other currencies. It helps investors assess the strength of a currency in the foreign exchange market.
Cryptocurrencies are digital or virtual currencies that use cryptography for security. They operate on decentralized networks based on blockchain technology.
A Federal Reserve interest rate hike refers to an increase in the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate at which banks lend to each other overnight. It influences borrowing costs and economic activity.
The dollar index measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of foreign currencies. It is used to gauge the dollar's strength in the global market.
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