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UK stocks fall on hawkish cenbanks, weak retail sales data
Global Banking & Finance Review®
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By Devik Jain
(Reuters) -UK shares fell on Friday as the growing prospect of aggressive monetary policy tightening coupled with a sharp drop in retail sales in the country, sparked concerns about economic growth.
The blue-chip FTSE 100 index slipped 0.6% and domestically focused mid-cap FTSE 250 index declined 0.5%.
Retailers tumbled 1.6% as data showed British retail sales volumes fell more than expected in March from February, while consumer confidence approached all-time lows in April, hit by surging inflation.
“It’s increasingly difficult to see consumer spending avoiding a downturn this summer, even if only modest by some historic standards,” James Smith, developed markets economist at ING wrote in a note.
Banks, life insurers and miners, fell between 0.6% and 1.2%, and weighed on the blue-chip index. The FTSE 100 was set to log a weekly dip of 0.1%.
“Whether the UK heads into a recession is still an open question… despite repeated upside inflation surprises, we think the Bank of England (BoE) is likely to tread more carefully on rate rises than markets expect.”
BoE Governor Andrew Bailey said on Thursday the central bank was walking a tight line between tackling inflation and avoiding recession with the strength of the labour market a key question right now.
Overnight sentiment was weighed by U.S. Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell saying a half-point interest rate increase will be “on the table” at the next Fed meeting.
Among local stocks, B&M dropped 5.8% after the discount retailer said its chief executive Simon Arora plans to retire next year after over 17 years leading the business.
Berkeley Group rose 3.1% after Jefferies upgraded the homebuilder’s stock to “buy” from “hold”.
HomeServe Plc jumped 10.6% after it said it was in talks with Canada’s Brookfield Asset Management for a possible offer for the home repair services firm.
(Reporting by Devik Jain in Bengaluru; Editing by Rashmi Aich and Amy Caren Daniel)
Monetary policy refers to the actions taken by a country's central bank to control the money supply and interest rates to achieve macroeconomic objectives such as controlling inflation and stabilizing the currency.
Retail sales measure the total receipts of retail stores. It is an important indicator of consumer spending, which drives economic growth.
Consumer confidence is an economic indicator that measures how optimistic or pessimistic consumers are regarding their expected financial situation and the overall state of the economy.
The FTSE 100 index is a stock market index that represents the 100 largest companies listed on the London Stock Exchange, reflecting the performance of the UK stock market.
Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power. Central banks attempt to limit inflation to stabilize the economy.
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