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Stocks and bond yields slip on U.S.-China tensions
Global Banking & Finance Review®
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By Tom Wilson
LONDON (Reuters) – Stocks slipped and bond yields fell on Tuesday on worries a visit by U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi to Taiwan would further harm relations between China and the United States.
Investors sought safer assets after China threatened repercussions if Pelosi visited the self-ruled island, which Beijing claims as its territory.
U.S. long-term Treasury yields dropped to a four-month low, while euro zone bond yields fell. The Japanese yen was on track for a fifth straight day of gains versus the dollar.
The greenback also gained against a basket of currencies, while crude oil sank as investors worried over signs of a global manufacturing downturn.
The MSCI world equity index, which tracks shares in 47 countries, fell 0.5%. The broad Euro STOXX 600 shed 1%, deepening losses during morning trade.
Wall Street stocks were set to fall around 0.8%, futures gauges showed.
Pelosi was expected to arrive in Taipei later on Tuesday, with several Chinese warplanes flying close to the median line dividing the Taiwan Strait, a source told Reuters.
China has repeatedly warned against Pelosi going to Taiwan. Washington said on Monday it would not be intimidated by China.
“It’s all about the Taiwan threat,” said Robert Alster, chief investment officer at Close Brothers Asset Management. “There’s no way you can say it’s not moved up the geopolitical agenda.”
The Taiwan issue added to a sense of unease sparked by China, Europe and the United States on Monday reporting weakening factory activity, with that in the United States decelerating to its lowest level since August 2020.
The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell as low as 2.52%, its lowest in four months, also benefiting from bets a slowdown could spur the Federal Reserve to ease off the policy-tightening pedal.
RECESSION FEARS
Germany’s 10-year government bond yield fell 4.5 basis points to 0.72%, after hitting its lowest since early April. The fall has come as investors scale back expectations for European Central Bank rate hikes on recession fears.
Brent futures edged down to $99.14 a barrel after losing almost $4 overnight. U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures also eased to $92.94, extending Monday’s almost $5 slide.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares retreated 1.3%. Taiwan’s stock index dropped 1.6%, while Chinese blue chips tumbled 2%.
The flight for safety played out in currency markets, too.
The U.S. dollar slid to as low as 130.40 against the Japanese yen, a level not seen for almost two months. It was last down 0.5%. Against a basket of currencies, the dollar rose 0.3% to 105.62.
The Taiwan dollar slipped to its lowest level in more than two years on the weaker side of 30 per U.S. dollar.
Australian stocks pared declines and the Aussie dollar weakened after the central bank raised the key rate by an as-expected 50 basis points, with markets interpreting changes to the accompanying policy statement as dovish.
The Aussie fell 1.4% to $0.69910, extending a retreat following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s move.
“The Aussie has been underperforming other major currencies lately given global growth concerns, so it really needed a hawkish surprise to reignite its recovery from two-year lows,” said Sean Callow, a currency strategist at Westpac in Sydney.
“Instead, it got the RBA leaving the door wide open to slowing the pace of tightening at future meetings.”
Cryptocurrencies, a barometer for risk appetite, also fell, with bitcoin slipping 1.6% to $22,896.
(Reporting by Tom Wilson; Additional reporting by Kevin Buckland in Tokyo and Tom Westbrook; Editing by Angus MacSwan and David Holmes)
A bond yield is the return an investor can expect to earn from holding a bond until maturity. It is expressed as a percentage of the bond's face value.
Currency exchange is the process of converting one currency into another, typically for trade, tourism, or investment purposes.
Economic growth refers to the increase in the production of goods and services in an economy over a period of time, usually measured by GDP.
Financial stability is a condition where the financial system operates effectively, with institutions able to manage risks and absorb shocks without major disruptions.
A recession is a significant decline in economic activity across the economy that lasts for an extended period, typically visible in GDP, income, employment, and trade.
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