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Oil rises almost 2% as markets await OPEC+ decision
Global Banking & Finance Review®
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By Robert Harvey
LONDON (Reuters) -Oil prices rose on Friday and were set for weekly gains as markets awaited an OPEC+ decision on supply agreements for the second quarter while weighing fresh U.S., European and Chinese economic data.
Brent futures for May were up $1.43, or 1.75%, at $83.34 a barrel by 1334 GMT. The April Brent futures contract expired on Feb. 29 at $83.62 a barrel.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for April rose $1.54, or 1.97%, to $79.80 a barrel.
WTI is on track for a 4.3% increase this week, while following the switch in contract months Brent is around 2.1% higher than last week’s settlement price.
A decision on extending OPEC+ cuts is expected in the first week of March, sources have said, with individual countries expected to announce their decisions.
“Sticking to the voluntary production cuts until the end of the year would be a strong signal and should therefore be seen as price-positive,” Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch said.
“An extension only into the second quarter, on the other hand, is likely to be priced in and should therefore not move prices significantly,” he added.
A Reuters survey showed the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries pumped 26.42 million barrels per day (bpd) in February, up 90,000 bpd from January.
Strong expectations of Saudi Arabia keeping term prices of crude it sells to Asian customers little changed in April from March levels also underpinned the market on Friday.
On the demand side, Chinese manufacturing activity shrank for the fifth straight month in February, an official survey showed.
Euro zone inflation fell in February according to Eurostat, but both the headline figure and core inflation, which strips out volatile food and fuel prices, just missed analysts’ expectations.
Supporting prices, the U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index showed January inflation in line with economists’ expectations on Thursday, reinforcing market bets for a June interest rate cut.
“The process of disinflation is reassuringly under way, therefore smart money is currently on a June rate cut,” PVM analyst Tamas Varga said in a note on Friday.
(Reporting by Robert Harvey in London, Laura Sanicola and Trixie Yap in Singapore; Editing by Jan Harvey, Kirsten Donovan)
OPEC+ is a coalition of oil-producing countries, including members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other major oil producers, that coordinate their oil production policies to influence global oil prices.
Brent futures are contracts for the future delivery of crude oil, specifically from the North Sea. They are used as a benchmark for pricing oil globally and are traded on various exchanges.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is a grade of crude oil used as a benchmark in oil pricing. It is sourced from the U.S. and is known for its high quality and low sulfur content.
Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power. It is typically measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) or the Producer Price Index (PPI).
The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index measures the average change over time in the prices paid by consumers for goods and services. It is a key indicator of inflation and is used by the Federal Reserve.
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