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Oil prices steady on uncertain global outlook and supply concerns
Global Banking & Finance Review®
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By Noah Browning
LONDON (Reuters) – Oil prices were steady on Monday as concern over rising interest rates, the global economy and the outlook for fuel demand were balanced by the prospect of tightening supplies.
Brent crude slipped 22 cents, or 0.3%, to $81.44 a barrel by 1135 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was down 13 cents, or 0.2%, at $77.74.
Both contracts fell more than 5% last week for their first weekly declines in five as U.S. implied gasoline demand fell from a year earlier.
Weak U.S. economic data and worse than expected corporate earnings from the technology sector sparked growth concerns among investors, CMC Markets analyst Tina Teng said. The stabilising U.S. dollar and climbing bond yields are also adding pressure on commodity markets, she added.
Central banks from the United States to Britain and Europe are all expected to raise interest rates when they meet in the first week of May, seeking to tackle stubbornly high inflation.
China’s bumpy economic recovery after the COVID-19 pandemic is also clouding the oil demand outlook, though Chinese customs data showed on Friday that the world’s top crude importer brought in record volumes in March. China’s imports from leading suppliers Russia and Saudi Arabia topped 2 million barrels per day (bpd) each.
Refining margins in Asia, meanwhile, have weakened on record production from top refiners China and India, curbing the region’s appetite for Middle East supplies loading in June.
Yet analysts and traders remained bullish about China’s fuel demand recovery towards the second half of 2023 and potential supply tightness owing to additional supply cuts planned by the OPEC+ producer group from May.
“Planned output cuts by the OPEC+ alliance and a strong demand outlook from China could provide a fillip to prices in the coming days”, said independent oil analyst Sugandha Sachdeva.
“Brent is likely to find key support around $79 a barrel, while for WTI crude support is aligned at $75,” she said.
(Reporting by Noah Browning; Additional reporting by Florence Tan in Singapore and Mohi Narayan in New Delhi; Editing by David Goodman)
Brent crude is a major trading classification of crude oil originating from the North Sea. It serves as a benchmark for oil prices globally.
OPEC+ is a group of oil-producing countries, including members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other nations, that coordinate oil production to influence prices.
Implied gasoline demand is an estimate of the amount of gasoline that consumers are expected to use, derived from gasoline inventory levels and production data.
Interest rates are the cost of borrowing money, expressed as a percentage of the amount borrowed, and are influenced by central banks to regulate economic activity.
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