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Dollar finds footing as focus turns to Europe inflation
Global Banking & Finance Review®
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By Tom Westbrook
SINGAPORE (Reuters) – The dollar caught its breath in Asia on Thursday, steadying as U.S. yields went up while investors waited on European inflation data, after nasty surprises in Germany, France and Spain have given a boost to the euro this week.
The dollar lost 0.9% on the euro on Wednesday, its sharpest drop in a month. It was about 0.2% firmer on the euro on Thursday, with the common currency at $1.0649 in Asia trade ahead of inflation data due at 1000 GMT.
With hotter-than-expected German inflation in February adding to pressure on the European Central Bank to raise rates after unexpectedly strong readings in France and Spain, markets are bracing for another uncomfortably high reading.
“Expectation is for a slower rise … down from last print of 8.6%, but this is in contrary to France and Spain CPIs which have recently re-accelerated,” said OCBC Bank strategist Christopher Wong in Singapore. “An upside surprise could lend some strength to the euro.”
The U.S. dollar index rose 0.2% to 104.58, helped as U.S. Treasury yields hit fresh high during Asia trade and as Federal Reserve official Neel Kashkari left the door open to a 50 basis point rate hike at the Fed’s next meeting in March.
Elsewhere the yen was fairly steady at 136.40 to the dollar, while the Australian and New Zealand dollars and the Chinese yuan wavered slightly after strong Wednesday gains supported by roaring Chinese manufacturing data.
The Aussie dollar needs to clear its 200-day moving average at $0.6794 to keep its recovery going. It was last 0.2% softer on Thursday at $0.6746. The New Zealand dollar, which rose 1.2% on Wednesday, fell 0.4% on Thursday to $0.6230.
China’s yuan settled back to 6.8928 to the dollar after logging its biggest jump of 2023 on Wednesday.
Investors are looking ahead to the China’s National People’s Congress meeting, which begins on Sunday, with an eye to guidance on policy support for the post-COVID recovery.
“Yesterday’s positive surprise in the PMIs for China in February are a positive for mining commodity prices and the currencies of countries that export them,” said Commonwealth Bank of Australia’s head of international economics, Joe Capurso.
“We consider the Australian dollar can increase materially in the weeks after China’s Two Sessions meetings,” he said.
“The yuan and commodity currencies such as the Australian and New Zealand dollars can rise materially if the meeting sends a pro‑growth signal, as we expect.”
Elsewhere sterling was held back by remarks from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, who said “nothing is decided” on future rate increases which had traders trimming back bets on higher rates. Sterling was down 0.2% to $1.2005. [GBP/]
Bitcoin has made little headway despite the dollar’s dip and was last at $23,493. Trouble at crypto bank Silvergate has weighed on the mood and the bank’s stock dropped 28% on Wednesday after it warned it was delaying its annual report and evaluating its ability to operate.
Besides European inflation, euro zone employment and central bank minutes are due later in the day, as is U.S. jobless claims data.
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Currency bid prices at 0432 GMT
Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid
Previous Change
Session
Euro/Dollar
$1.0647 $1.0670 -0.21% +0.00% +1.0672 +1.0645
Dollar/Yen
136.4000 136.2350 +0.00% +0.00% +136.4350 +136.0700
Euro/Yen
145.24 145.29 -0.03% +0.00% +145.3400 +145.1200
Dollar/Swiss
0.9422 0.9398 +0.26% +0.00% +0.9422 +0.9395
Sterling/Dollar
1.2003 1.2025 -0.17% +0.00% +1.2035 +1.2001
Dollar/Canadian
1.3612 1.3592 +0.14% +0.00% +1.3626 +1.3586
Aussie/Dollar
0.6742 0.6759 -0.25% +0.00% +0.6766 +0.6728
NZ
Dollar/Dollar 0.6227 0.6257 -0.44% +0.00% +0.6257 +0.6224
All spots
Tokyo spots
Europe spots
Volatilities
Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ
(Reporting by Tom Westbrook.; Editing by Shri Navaratnam)
Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power. It is typically measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
A central bank is a national institution that manages a country's currency, money supply, and interest rates. It oversees the banking system and implements monetary policy.
Foreign exchange, or forex, refers to the global marketplace for trading national currencies against one another. It is the largest financial market in the world.
Cryptocurrency is a digital or virtual currency that uses cryptography for security. It operates on decentralized networks based on blockchain technology.
Economic indicators are statistics that provide information about the economic performance of a country. Common indicators include GDP, unemployment rates, and inflation rates.
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