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Dollar climbs to fresh 20-year high on yen, tests 2-year peak on euro
Global Banking & Finance Review®
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By Joice Alves
LONDON (Reuters) – The dollar rose on Tuesday to a fresh 20-year high against the Japanese yen and tested a two-year peak against the euro, supported by high U.S. Treasury yields.
Ten-year U.S. inflation-linked bond yields are within touching distance of turning positive for the first time in two years.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against six other currencies, climbed past 101 for the first time in more than two years. It was flat at 100.84 at 1155 GMT.
The dollar’s gains have been most striking against the yen, climbing to its highest level of 128.46 yen against the Japanese currency since May 2002. It was last up 1.3% at 128.20 yen.
The dollar has risen 5.4% on the yen so far this month, which would be its second-biggest monthly percentage gain since 2016 after last month’s 5.8%.
The greenback rose to its highest of 0.9492 since July 2020 against the Swiss franc.
The euro recovered some grounds, trading 0.1% higher against the dollar at $1.07935, but stayed just off last week’s two-year low of $1.0756.
“Policy divergence between the Fed and low-yielding central banks (European Central Bank, Bank of Japan) continues to argue in favour of USD strength,” said Francesco Pesole, FX Strategist at ING.
Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will tighten its monetary policy have continued to provide support to the dollar.
U.S. inflation is “far too high”, St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard said on Monday as he repeated his case for increasing interest rates to 3.5% by the end of the year.
In the meantime, the BoJ has been intervening to keep the yield on Japanese 10-year government bonds around 0% and no higher than 0.25%.
Many investors are betting the yen has further to fall. The latest CFTC data for the week ending April 12 shows net short yen positions are the largest in three and a half years.
Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki made the most explicit warning against the yen’s recent slump on Tuesday, saying the damage to the economy from a weakening currency at present is greater than the benefits from it.
Elsewhere, sterling was flat at $1.3019, in sight of its 17-month low against the dollar of $1.2973, hit last week.
European currencies weren’t helped by the latest fighting in Ukraine.
The Australian dollar briefly rose to $0.740 from Monday’s one-month low, given some support by minutes published Tuesday from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s April policy meeting, which suggested the central bank was edging closer to raising interest rates for the first time in more than a decade.
Bitcoin also managed to find its feet, trading around $40,800 after hitting a one-month low of $38,547 on Monday.
(Reporting by Joice Alves, additional reporting by Alun John; Editing by Gareth Jones and Bernadette Baum)
Foreign exchange, or forex, refers to the global marketplace for trading national currencies against one another. It is the largest financial market in the world, facilitating international trade and investment.
A currency pair consists of two different currencies that are traded against each other in the foreign exchange market. The first currency is the base currency, while the second is the quote currency.
Monetary policy is the process by which a central bank manages the supply of money, interest rates, and inflation to achieve macroeconomic objectives such as controlling inflation and stabilizing the currency.
A central bank is a national financial institution that oversees the monetary system for a country or group of countries, managing currency issuance, interest rates, and monetary policy.
Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power. It is typically measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) or Producer Price Index (PPI).
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