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    Home > Finance > Oil settles down 4% as Trump comments ease Iranian supply concerns
    Finance

    Oil settles down 4% as Trump comments ease Iranian supply concerns

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on January 14, 2026

    3 min read

    Last updated: January 19, 2026

    Oil settles down 4% as Trump comments ease Iranian supply concerns - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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    Tags:financial markets

    Quick Summary

    Oil prices dropped 4% after Trump's comments eased concerns over Iran, affecting global oil supply dynamics and market sentiment.

    Table of Contents

    • Impact of Trump's Comments on Oil Prices
    • Market Reactions and Analyst Insights
    • Supply and Demand Dynamics
    • U.S. Crude and Gasoline Inventories
    • Venezuela's Oil Production Resumption

    Oil Prices Drop 4% After Trump's Comments on Iran's Protests

    Impact of Trump's Comments on Oil Prices

    By Georgina McCartney

    Market Reactions and Analyst Insights

    HOUSTON, Jan 15 (Reuters) - Oil prices settled down around 4% on Thursday ending a five-day streak of gains after U.S. President Donald Trump said the crackdown on protesters in Iran was easing, allaying concerns over potential military action against Iran and oil supply disruptions.

    Supply and Demand Dynamics

    Brent futures settled down $2.76 or 4.15%, at $63.76 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude fell $2.83, or 4.56%, to $59.19.

    U.S. Crude and Gasoline Inventories

    Both contracts had risen to multi-month highs over the last few sessions. 

    Venezuela's Oil Production Resumption

    Trump said he had been told that killings during Iran’s crackdown on protests were easing and he believed there was no current plan for large-scale executions, adopting a wait‑and‑see posture after earlier threatening intervention.

    RISK PREMIUM REDUCED

    The comments reduced the risk premium that had built up in recent days, analysts said. On Wednesday, Brent reached a high of $66.82, its highest since September. 

    "We went from a high likelihood that Trump was going to hit Iran to a low likelihood, and that is the bulk of the downward pressure today on prices," said Phil Flynn, senior analyst with Price Futures Group. 

    The U.s. is withdrawing some personnel from military bases in the Middle East, a U.S. official said on Wednesday, after a senior Iranian official said Tehran had told neighbours it would hit American bases if Washington strikes.

    Further weighing on prices, U.S. crude and gasoline inventories rose last week by more than analysts had estimated, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday.

    Elsewhere, Venezuela has begun reversing oil production cuts made under a U.S. embargo, with crude exports also resuming, three sources said.

    Analysts pointed to further bearish market sentiment following a positive phone call between Trump and Venezuela's acting President Delcy Rodriguez on Wednesday, with expectations of stability in the short term leading to more oil leaving Venezuela in the coming weeks. 

    "That will keep prices anchored," Flynn said.  

    On the demand side, OPEC said on Wednesday that 2027 oil demand was likely to rise at a similar pace to this year and published data indicating a near balance between supply and demand in 2026, contrasting with other forecasts of a glut.

    China's crude oil imports in December rose 17% from a year earlier, while total imports in 2025 were up 4.4%, government data showed, with daily crude import volumes hitting record highs.

    (Reporting by Georgina McCartney in Houston, Enes TunagurAdditional reporting by Ahmad Ghaddar in London, Mohi Narayan in New Delhi, and Yuka Obayashi in TokyoEditing by David Goodman, Bernadette Baum, Rod Nickel and David Gregorio)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Oil prices fell 4% after Trump's comments on Iran.
    • •Brent and WTI crude futures saw significant declines.
    • •U.S. crude and gasoline inventories rose unexpectedly.
    • •Venezuela resumed oil production and exports.
    • •OPEC forecasts stable oil demand growth through 2027.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Oil settles down 4% as Trump comments ease Iranian supply concerns

    1What is West Texas Intermediate (WTI)?

    West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is a grade of crude oil used as a benchmark in oil pricing. It is sourced from the U.S. and is known for its high quality.

    2What are crude oil futures?

    Crude oil futures are contracts to buy or sell a specific amount of crude oil at a predetermined price on a specified future date, allowing traders to hedge against price fluctuations.

    3What is a supply disruption?

    A supply disruption refers to an unexpected event that interrupts the supply of goods or services, often leading to shortages and price increases in markets.

    4What is market reaction?

    Market reaction refers to how investors and traders respond to news or events, which can lead to price changes in financial markets, including stocks, commodities, and currencies.

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