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UK factory orders contract at fastest pace since 2020, CBI says

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on May 21, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: May 21, 2026

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UK Factory Orders Register Steepest Decline Since 2020 Amid Supply Chain Strain

British Factory Orders and Economic Pressures

Sharp Contraction in Orders and Rising Price Expectations

May 21 (Reuters) - British factory orders contracted this month at the fastest rate since September 2020 and expectations for selling prices surged, according to a survey on Thursday that illustrated the dilemma facing the Bank of England.

The Confederation of British Industry's monthly balance of total new orders slid to -41 in May from -38 in April.

A gauge of expected selling prices rose to its highest since February 2023.

Impact of Global Events on UK Manufacturing

"Against an increasingly uncertain global backdrop, the conflict in the Middle East is feeding through to higher energy costs and renewed supply chain disruption, adding another layer of challenges for manufacturers, who are already grappling with weak demand," Cameron Martin, CBI senior economist, said.

Survey Insights: Supply Chain and Demand Concerns

A separate survey of manufacturers published earlier on Thursday by S&P Global showed British firms reported a rush of orders - but the increase was largely due to clients trying to get ahead of possible further price increases or supply chain problems linked to the Iran war.

Bank of England's Response to Inflationary Pressures

The BoE is watching to see whether it needs to raise interest rates to snuff out the inflationary pressures sparked by the Iran war energy price shock or whether the hit to demand means any uptick in headline inflation proves short-lived.

(Reporting by Andy BruceEditing by William Schomberg)

Key Takeaways

  • Total new factory orders fell to a net balance of –41 in May from –38 in April—the steepest drop since September 2020, per the CBI survey, underscoring deepening weakness in UK manufacturing (tradingeconomics.com).
  • Expected selling price inflation surged to the highest level since February 2023, reflecting mounting cost pressures driven by the Iran‑related energy shock and supply chain strains (cbi.org.uk).
  • The Bank of England faces a dilemma: whether to hike interest rates to counter inflation from energy‑related shocks or refrain given the sharp demand contraction and risks of pushing the economy further into recession (bloomberg.com).

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did UK factory orders contract in May 2024?
UK factory orders fell due to higher energy costs, global uncertainties, and renewed supply chain disruptions.
What was the CBI's monthly balance of new orders in May?
The CBI's balance of total new orders dropped to -41 in May from -38 in April.
How are energy prices impacting UK manufacturers?
Rising energy prices, influenced by the Middle East conflict, have increased costs and disrupted supply chains for UK manufacturers.
How does the Bank of England view the current situation?
The Bank of England is monitoring inflation and demand to decide if a rate hike is needed due to the inflationary pressures.
What caused the rise in expected selling prices for British manufacturers?
Manufacturers expect to raise prices due to increased costs and supply chain challenges, reaching a high not seen since February 2023.

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