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    1. Home
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    3. >Oil prices tumble more than $1 as IEA cuts demand forecast
    Finance

    Oil Prices Tumble More Than $1 as Iea Cuts Demand Forecast

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on February 12, 2026

    2 min read

    Last updated: February 12, 2026

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    Tags:oil and gaseconomic growthfinancial markets

    Quick Summary

    Oil prices rise as US-Iran tensions escalate. Brent and WTI crude futures gain, with ongoing US-Iran talks and economic indicators influencing demand.

    Oil Prices Drop Over $1 Following IEA's Demand Forecast Revision

    Impact of IEA's Demand Forecast on Oil Prices

    (Corrects price move in headline and lede)

    Market Reactions to Demand Changes

    By Erwin Seba

    U.S. Crude Inventory Trends

    HOUSTON, Feb 12 (Reuters) - Oil prices tumbled by more than $1 a barrel on Thursday as investors gave more weight to the International Energy Agency lowering its global oil demand forecast for 2026 against the receding risk of U.S. attacks on Iran.

    Geopolitical Factors Affecting Oil Prices

    Brent crude oil futures were down $1.26, or 1.82%, at $68.14 a barrel by 10:16 a.m. CDT (1616 GMT). U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude fell $1.24, or 1.92%, to $63.39.

    Global oil demand will rise more slowly than previously expected this year, the IEA said on Thursday, while projecting a sizeable surplus despite outages that cut supply in January.

    The Brent and WTI benchmarks reversed gains to turn negative after the IEA's monthly report, having derived support earlier from concerns over the U.S.-Iran backdrop.

    "It just ran out of steam," said Phil Flynn, senior analyst with the Price Futures Group. "The market's doubling down on the lowering demand forecast."

    On Wednesday, U.S. President Donald Trump said after talks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that they had yet to reach a definitive agreement on how to move forward with Iran but that negotiations with Tehran would continue.

    On Tuesday, Trump had said he was considering sending a second aircraft carrier to the Middle East if a deal is not reached with Iran. The date and venue of the next round of talks have yet to be announced.

    A hefty build in U.S. crude inventories had capped the early price gains. U.S. crude inventories rose by 8.5 million barrels to 428.8 million barrels last week, the Energy Information Administration said, far exceeding the 793,000 increase expected by analysts in a Reuters poll.

    U.S. refinery utilisation rates dropped by 1.1 percentage points in the week to 89.4%, EIA data showed.

    On the supply side, Russia's seaborne oil products exports in January rose by 0.7% from December to 9.12 million metric tons on high fuel output and a seasonal drop in domestic demand, data from industry sources and Reuters calculations showed.

    (Reporting by Erwin Seba in Houston, Enes Tunagur in London, Sam Li and Lewis Jackson in BeijingEditing by David Goodman, Ros Russell and David Gregorio)

    Table of Contents

    • Impact of IEA's Demand Forecast on Oil Prices
    • Market Reactions to Demand Changes
    • U.S. Crude Inventory Trends
    • Geopolitical Factors Affecting Oil Prices

    Key Takeaways

    • •Oil prices rise due to US-Iran tensions.
    • •Brent and WTI crude futures see gains.
    • •US-Iran talks continue without a definitive agreement.
    • •US economic indicators support oil demand.
    • •Global oil inventories impact price trends.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Oil prices tumble more than $1 as IEA cuts demand forecast

    1What is Brent crude oil?

    Brent crude oil is a major trading classification of crude oil originating from the North Sea. It serves as a benchmark for oil prices globally.

    2What are US crude inventories?

    US crude inventories refer to the amount of crude oil stored in the United States, which is reported weekly and influences oil prices.

    3What is West Texas Intermediate (WTI)?

    West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is a grade of crude oil used as a benchmark in oil pricing. It is sourced from the US and is known for its high quality.

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