Published by Global Banking and Finance Review
Posted on November 26, 2025
2 min readLast updated: January 20, 2026
ECB should cut rates only if inflation path declines without rebound, says Vujcic. Current projections show inflation returning to target by 2027.
COPENHAGEN (Reuters) -The European Central Bank must not try to micromanage monetary policy and should only cut interest rates again if price growth is heading below target without rebounding, Croatian central bank chief Boris Vujcic said on Wednesday.
The ECB has been on hold since June and policymakers are debating whether more easing is needed since price growth is set to dip below its 2% goal next year.
Most policymakers argue that no action is needed since projections show inflation coming back to target in 2027. However, a few are warning that below-target readings risk pulling down expectations and perpetuating anaemic price growth, much like in the pre-pandemic years.
"For another cut, you would have to see the inflation path going down," Vujcic told a Danske Bank conference in Copenhagen. "So, not going down and then returning."
The comments echo warnings from other policymakers cautioning against acting on small, temporary deviations from target.
Markets see virtually zero chance of a rate cut on December 18, when the ECB releases fresh inflation projections, including its initial numbers for 2028. But investors still see a one-in-three chance of a cut by mid-2026.
"Micromanaging monetary policy to hit exactly the 2% target is pretty much an impossible task and only introduces unnecessary volatility," Vujcic said. "If pressures would become more persistent, on one side or the other, that's a different thing and would require a change in the monetary policy status."
He added that tariffs may still cause some inflation volatility and climate change makes food prices harder to predict.
(Reporting by Jacob Gronholt-Pedersen; writing by Balazs Koranyi; Alex Richardson and Sharon Singleton)
Monetary policy refers to the actions taken by a central bank to manage the money supply and interest rates to achieve macroeconomic objectives such as controlling inflation and stabilizing currency.
Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power. It is typically measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
Interest rates are the cost of borrowing money, expressed as a percentage of the total loan amount. They are influenced by central bank policies and economic conditions.
The European Central Bank (ECB) is the central bank for the eurozone, responsible for monetary policy, maintaining price stability, and overseeing the financial system.
A financial market is a marketplace where buyers and sellers engage in the trade of assets such as stocks, bonds, currencies, and derivatives.
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