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    1. Home
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    3. >Explainer-Gold's record-breaking rally: who's keeping it going?
    Headlines

    Explainer-Gold's Record-Breaking Rally: Who's Keeping It Going?

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on September 2, 2025

    3 min read

    Last updated: January 22, 2026

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    Tags:investmentfinancial markets

    Quick Summary

    Gold prices hit a record high due to central bank purchases and investment demand. Jewellery demand declines, while gold ETFs see inflows.

    Explainer-Gold's record-breaking rally: who's keeping it going?

    Key Factors Driving Gold Prices

    By Polina Devitt

    LONDON (Reuters) -Gold prices hit a record $3,532 per troy ounce on Tuesday, extending a rally that has boosted them more than 90% since late 2022. Demand is expected to remain robust for some time due to a mix of factors.

    Central bank purchases and strong investment demand, visible in inflows into physically backed gold exchange-traded funds, are the main drivers, fuelled by U.S. President Donald Trump's upending of Western security policy, his trade wars with other countries and concerns about the independence of the U.S. Federal Reserve.

    Central Bank Purchases

    WILL CENTRAL BANKS KEEP ON BUYING MORE?

    Annual net purchases of gold by central banks have exceeded 1,000 metric tons each year since 2022, according to consultancy Metals Focus, which expects them to buy 900 tons this year - twice the annual average of 457 tons in 2016-2021.

     Developing countries are seeking to diversify from the dollar after Western sanctions froze roughly half of Russia's official foreign currency reserves in 2022. 

    Official numbers reported to the International Monetary Fund reflect only 34% of the 2024 total central bank gold demand estimate, according to the World Gold Council, an industry body.

    They have contributed 23% to total annual gold demand in 2022-2025, double the average share recorded during the 2010s.    

    Jewellery Demand Trends

    WILL THE DROP IN THE JEWELLERY SECTOR CONTINUE?

    Demand for gold for jewellery, the main source of physical demand, fell 14% to 341 tons in the second quarter of 2025, the lowest since the pandemic-swept third quarter of 2020, as high prices deterred buyers, according to the WGC.

    High prices spurred the decline, the bulk of which came from the largest markets - China and India - whose combined market share fell below 50% for only the third time in the last five years, the WGC estimated.

    Metals Focus estimated that gold jewellery fabrication fell 9% to 2,011 tons in 2024 and will deliver a 16% slump this year.

    Retail Investment Shifts

    ARE PEOPLE STILL BUYING SMALL GOLD BARS AND COINS?

    There has been a major shift in appetite for different products in the retail investment market but total purchases in this sector remain robust.

    Investment demand for gold bars rose 10% in 2024, while coin buying fell 31%, according to the WGC, which said the trend has extended to this year. 

    Metals Focus expects net physical investment to rise 2% this year to 1,218 tons as demand in Asia remains high amid positive price expectations.

    Gold ETFs and Their Impact

    CAN GOLD ETFs ATTRACT MORE INFLOWS?

    Gold ETFs have become a more important source of demand for gold this year, recording inflow of 397 tons in the period from January to June, their largest first half inflow since 2020, according to the WGC.

    Gold ETFs total holdings stood at 3,615.9 tons at the end of June, the largest since August 2022. Their record was 3,915 tons five years ago.

    Metals Focus expects net investment in ETPs in 2025 at 500 tons after seven tons of outflows in 2024.

    (Reporting by Polina Devitt; Editing by Nia Williams)

    Table of Contents

    • Key Factors Driving Gold Prices
    • Central Bank Purchases
    • Jewellery Demand Trends
    • Retail Investment Shifts
    • Gold ETFs and Their Impact

    Key Takeaways

    • •Gold prices reached a record $3,532 per troy ounce.
    • •Central bank purchases are a major driver of gold demand.
    • •Jewellery demand has decreased due to high prices.
    • •Retail investment in gold bars is rising, while coin buying falls.
    • •Gold ETFs have seen significant inflows in 2025.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Explainer-Gold's record-breaking rally: who's keeping it going?

    1What has caused the recent surge in gold prices?

    Gold prices have surged due to robust demand from central bank purchases and strong investment interest, particularly in physically backed gold ETFs.

    2How much gold are central banks expected to purchase this year?

    Central banks are expected to buy 900 tons of gold this year, which is twice the annual average recorded during the 2010s.

    3What is the trend in jewelry demand for gold?

    Demand for gold jewelry fell by 14% in the second quarter of 2025, primarily due to high prices that deterred purchases in major markets like China and India.

    4Are retail investors still buying gold bars and coins?

    Yes, while there has been a shift in appetite, total purchases in the retail investment market remain robust, with investment demand for gold bars rising by 10% in 2024.

    5What role do gold ETFs play in the current market?

    Gold ETFs have become increasingly important, recording inflows of 397 tons in the first half of the year, marking their largest inflow since 2020.

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