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Exclusive-OPEC+ plans another oil output hike in November, sources say
Published by Global Banking and Finance Review
Posted on September 28, 2025
3 min readLast updated: January 21, 2026
Global Banking and Finance Review
Company
Published by Global Banking and Finance Review
Posted on September 28, 2025
3 min readLast updated: January 21, 2026
OPEC+ is set to increase oil output by 137,000 BPD in November to regain market share amid rising prices.
By Olesya Astakhova and Ahmad Ghaddar
MOSCOW/LONDON (Reuters) -OPEC+ will likely approve another oil production increase of at least 137,000 barrels per day at its meeting next Sunday, as rising oil prices encourage the group to try to further regain market share, three sources familiar with the talks said.
OPEC+ has reversed its strategy of output cuts from April and has already raised quotas by more than 2.5 million barrels per day, representing about 2.4% of world demand, to boost market share and after coming under pressure from U.S. President Donald Trump to lower oil prices.
Eight OPEC+ countries will hold an online meeting on October 5 to decide on November output. OPEC+ pumps about half of the world's oil and includes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries plus Russia and other allies.
OPEC headquarters and authorities in Saudi Arabia did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
WHAT HAVE OIL PRICES BEEN DOING?
Oil prices have fallen from over $80 per barrel at the start of the year but have mostly traded in a narrow range of $60-$70 per barrel since OPEC began production increases in April.
On Friday, prices rose to their highest since August 1, hitting levels above $70 per barrel, supported by Ukrainian drone attacks on Russia's energy infrastructure which disrupted refining and shipments from one of the world's biggest oil exporters.
The group's total output reductions amounted at their peak to 5.85 million bpd, made up of three different elements - voluntary cuts of 2.2 million bpd, plus 1.65 million bpd by eight members, and another 2.0 million bpd by the whole group.
FURTHER INCREASE TO BE DISCUSSED
The eight producers plan to fully unwind one element of those cuts - 2.2 million bpd - by the end of September. For October, they started removing a second layer, of 1.65 million bpd, with an increase of 137,000 bpd.
OPEC+ also gave the United Arab Emirates approval to boost production by 300,000 bpd between April and September.
The November increase to be discussed on October 5 will amount to at least 137,000 bpd, equal to the October hike, the three sources said. A final decision has not been made, the sources said.
OPEC+ hikes have fallen short of the pledged amounts because most members are pumping at capacity, analysts have said.
OPEC+'s third group-wide layer of cuts of 2 million bpd is due to last until the end of 2026.
(Reporting by Olesya Astakhova and Ahmad Ghaddar; Additional reporting by Maha El Dahan; Editing by Alex Lawler, Dmitry Zhdannikov and David Holmes)
OPEC+ is likely to approve an oil production increase of at least 137,000 barrels per day for November.
Oil prices have mostly traded in a narrow range of $60-$70 per barrel since April, with a recent rise above $70 per barrel due to geopolitical factors.
The next OPEC+ meeting is scheduled for October 5, where the group will discuss the output for November.
Since April, OPEC+ has raised its production quotas by more than 2.5 million barrels per day, which is about 2.4% of world demand.
OPEC+ has been unwinding its production cuts, with plans to fully remove a layer of cuts by the end of September and further increases discussed for October and November.
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