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    1. Home
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    3. >Italy wins Fitch rating upgrade on fiscal performance, political stability under Meloni
    Headlines

    Italy Wins Fitch Rating Upgrade on Fiscal Performance, Political Stability Under Meloni

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on September 19, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 21, 2026

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    Tags:GDPfinancial stabilityeconomic growthPublic Finance

    Quick Summary

    Fitch upgraded Italy's credit rating to 'BBB+' due to political stability and fiscal improvements under Giorgia Meloni's government.

    Fitch Upgrades Italy's Credit Rating Amid Political Stability and Fiscal Gains

    By Giselda Vagnoni

    ROME (Reuters) -Italy won a clear rating boost on Friday when Fitch upgraded the creditworthiness of the euro zone's third-largest economy reflecting the country's political stability and improving public finances under the government of Giorgia Meloni.

    Fitch raised its Italy rating to 'BBB+' from 'BBB' and maintained its stable outlook, in line with analysts' expectations after upgrades last week to fellow peripheral euro zone countries Spain and Portugal.

    "The current policy framework and stable political backdrop is conducive to Italy meeting its targets, with the new multi-year planning process serving as an important anchor in sustaining fiscal prudence," Fitch said.

    The move highlights a swing in political fortunes in Europe. Last week Fitch cut its rating for France, the bloc's second-biggest economy, which is in turmoil as minority governments are toppled one after another as they try to pass deficit-narrowing budgets. 

    Previously, Italy had often been seen as the weakest link in the euro zone and experienced its own frequent changes of government.

    "It is a clear sign of confidence from international markets: political stability, credible economic policies, and support for those who create jobs and wealth are bearing fruit," Meloni said in a statement on Saturday.

    Italy's 2024 budget deficit of 3.4% of gross domestic product was well within the government's 3.8% target, and Economy Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti has suggested it could fall below the European Union's 3% ceiling this year, a year ahead of schedule. 

    "We have put Italy back on the right track," Giorgetti said in a brief statement after the upgrade. 

    Fitch forecast a deficit of 3.1% of GDP this year "reflecting solid tax revenue performance in line with a widening tax base thanks to improved labor market conditions and rising tax compliance". 

    Defence spending is on track to reach 2% of GDP in 2025, mostly due to a reclassification of its spending, Fitch said, adding that it expects only limited additional expenditure on defence in 2026-2027.

    Fitch's review of Italy will be followed in coming weeks by S&P Global, Moody's, Morningstar DBRS and Scope Ratings.

    (Additional reporting by Yamini Kalia in Bengaluru and Gavin Jones in Rome; Editing by Krishna Chandra Eluri and Hugh Lawson)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Fitch upgraded Italy's credit rating to 'BBB+'.
    • •The upgrade reflects political stability and fiscal improvements.
    • •Italy's budget deficit is on track to meet EU targets.
    • •The upgrade follows similar actions for Spain and Portugal.
    • •Italy's economic policies are gaining international confidence.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Italy wins Fitch rating upgrade on fiscal performance, political stability under Meloni

    1What rating did Fitch upgrade Italy to?

    Fitch raised its Italy rating to 'BBB+' from 'BBB' and maintained its stable outlook.

    2What factors contributed to Italy's rating upgrade?

    The upgrade reflects Italy's political stability and improving fiscal performance, alongside a credible economic policy framework.

    3What is Italy's projected budget deficit for 2024?

    Italy's 2024 budget deficit is projected to be 3.4% of gross domestic product, which is within the government's target of 3.8%.

    4How does Italy's defence spending relate to its GDP?

    Fitch noted that defence spending is on track to reach 2% of GDP by 2025, primarily due to a reclassification of spending.

    5Which other rating agencies are expected to review Italy soon?

    Fitch's review of Italy will be followed by assessments from S&P Global, Moody's, Morningstar DBRS, and Scope Ratings in the coming weeks.

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