Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®
Posted on July 22, 2025
2 min readLast updated: January 22, 2026
Add as preferred source on GoogleEuropean corporate earnings are projected to decline by 0.3% in Q2, with significant impacts from tariffs and trade uncertainties.
By Javi West Larrañaga and Marleen Kaesebier
(Reuters) -The outlook for European corporate health has slightly improved, the latest earnings forecasts showed on Tuesday, despite continued uncertainty over global trade and the European Union preparing for counter-measures against any major U.S. tariffs.
European companies are expected to report a drop of 0.3% in second-quarter earnings, on average, according to LSEG I/B/E/S data. That is slightly above the 0.7% fall analysts expected a week ago.
Forecasts for Europe-wide STOXX 600 company earnings have steadily worsened since U.S. President Donald Trump announced plans for "reciprocal" tariffs in February. Analysts expected second-quarter earnings to increase 9.1% year-on-year right before the announcement, according to the data.
The consensus forecast for second-quarter revenue, on the other hand, has continued to weaken, the LSEG report showed, with analysts now expecting a 3.1% fall versus a 3.0% drop last week. That would be the worst quarterly performance in more than a year.
A year ago, STOXX 600 companies on average delivered a 3.0% increase in second-quarter earnings and a 0.8% drop in revenues.
This earnings season will highlight how Trump's tariff threats are affecting European companies, as many of them scramble to minimise risks and prepare strategies to counter uncertainty.
Italian-listed Stellantis said on Monday tariffs had already cost the auto group 300 million euros ($351 million) and pharma firm AstraZeneca announced plans to spend $50 billion expanding in the U.S. by 2030.
Among sectors, the earnings of STOXX 600 technology firms are expected to increase 26.5% in the second quarter, while those of consumer cyclicals - auto, retail and entertainment companies - are forecast to shrink 23.6%, the LSEG data showed.
($1 = 0.8545 euros)
(Reporting by Javi West Larrañaga and Marleen Kaesebier. Editing by Louise Heavens and Mark Potter)
European companies are expected to report a drop of 0.3% in second-quarter earnings, slightly better than the 0.7% decline analysts predicted a week ago.
Tariffs have already cost Italian-listed Stellantis 300 million euros and prompted AstraZeneca to plan a $50 billion expansion in the U.S.
Earnings for STOXX 600 technology firms are expected to increase by 26.5%, while consumer cyclicals, including auto and retail, are forecasted to see a decline.
A year ago, STOXX 600 companies delivered a 3.0% increase in second-quarter earnings and a 0.8% drop in revenues.
The consensus forecast for second-quarter revenue has weakened, with analysts now expecting a 3.1% fall compared to a 3.0% drop last week.
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