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    Home > Headlines > Germany unlikely to fall foul of EU deficit rules, official tells FT
    Headlines

    Germany unlikely to fall foul of EU deficit rules, official tells FT

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on July 27, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 22, 2026

    Germany unlikely to fall foul of EU deficit rules, official tells FT - Headlines news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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    Tags:GDPfinancial marketsEuropean Commission

    Quick Summary

    Germany's 3.3% GDP deficit may not breach EU rules due to defence spending exclusions. Final assessment in spring 2025.

    Table of Contents

    • Germany's Budget Deficit and EU Regulations
    • Understanding Excessive Deficit Procedure
    • Impact of Defence Spending on Deficit
    • Future Assessments and Fiscal Rules

    Germany unlikely to fall foul of EU deficit rules, official tells FT

    Germany's Budget Deficit and EU Regulations

    VIENNA (Reuters) -The European Commission will probably not impose a so-called excessive deficit procedure on Germany for breaching the EU's budget deficit cap this year, Economic Commissioner Valdis Dombrovskis told the Financial Times.

    Germany's new conservative-led coalition government has said it does not expect a planned spending spree, including on defence, to be found in breach of European Union rules that cap budget deficits at 3% of gross domestic product.

    Berlin's budget deficit is expected to come in at 3.3% of GDP this year, but since defence spending fully accounts for the amount over 3%, Germany "is likely not to end up in (the) excessive deficit procedure", Dombrovskis was quoted as saying in the FT interview published on Sunday.

    Understanding Excessive Deficit Procedure

    An excessive deficit procedure involves the Commission and EU finance ministers setting a corrective course to bring a member state's deficit back within the 3% limit. A country's failure to do so can in principle eventually lead to a fine.

    Impact of Defence Spending on Deficit

    "We have to see the execution, because it's close (but) if everything holds, then it should not be the case for this year's budget," Dombrovskis said, adding that a final assessment would take place in the spring when data for 2025 is available.

    Future Assessments and Fiscal Rules

    Under the EU's new fiscal rules, which the previous, more fiscally conservative German government helped negotiate, member states can exclude some defence spending from their deficits.

    (Reporting by Francois Murphy;Editing by Helen Popper)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Germany's budget deficit is projected at 3.3% of GDP.
    • •Defence spending accounts for the excess over the 3% cap.
    • •EU unlikely to impose an excessive deficit procedure.
    • •Final assessment will be made in spring 2025.
    • •New EU fiscal rules allow some defence spending exclusions.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Germany unlikely to fall foul of EU deficit rules, official tells FT

    1What is the Excessive Deficit Procedure?

    The Excessive Deficit Procedure is a process initiated by the European Commission when a member state's deficit exceeds the EU's 3% of GDP limit, requiring corrective measures.

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