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    1. Home
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    3. >UK economy gathers pace at start of 2026 but cost burdens persist, PMI shows
    Finance

    UK Economy Gathers Pace at Start of 2026 but Cost Burdens Persist, PMI Shows

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on February 4, 2026

    3 min read

    Last updated: February 4, 2026

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    Tags:UK economyinterest rates

    Quick Summary

    The UK's services sector experienced strong growth in early 2026, with a PMI of 54.0, despite rising costs and labor market challenges.

    UK Services Sector Shows Strong Growth in Early 2026 Amid Cost Pressures

    UK Economy and Services Sector Overview

    By Suban Abdulla

    PMI and Business Confidence

    LONDON, Feb 4 (Reuters) - Activity in Britain's services sector grew strongly in January and confidence rose, a survey showed on Wednesday, but firms also reported a jump in their prices, a potential concern for the Bank of England before its interest rate decision this week.

    Labor Market and Hiring Trends

    The S&P Global UK Services Purchasing Managers' Index rose to 54.0 in January, the highest since August 2025, up from December's 51.4. Wednesday's reading was slightly lower than a preliminary flash reading of 54.3 which would have been the highest since April 2024.

    Inflation and Interest Rates

    PMI readings above 50.0 indicate growth in activity, while those below that level point to a contraction.

    Expectations for future output were the strongest since October 2024 - when finance minister Rachel Reeves imposed unexpectedly big tax rises on companies - despite firms' concerns about geopolitical risks and weak consumer demand.

    Business confidence had declined again in the run-up to Reeves' second budget in November 2025. This included 26 billion pounds ($36 billion) of tax increases but most of them were deferred and less heavily focused on businesses than in 2024.

    Tim Moore, economics director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said some firms reported that clarity after the budget had contributed to an improvement in confidence.

    The composite PMI, which combines the services survey with a strong reading of the manufacturing sector published on Monday, increased to its highest since August 2024 at 53.7 in January from 51.4 in December but was below the 53.9 first reported.

    Overall services export orders increased at the second-fastest pace since October 2024.

    "The latest survey revealed an encouraging start to 2026 for the UK service sector, following a sluggish end to last year," Moore said.

    "However, there were again gloomy signals for the UK labour market outlook as staff hiring decreased at a steeper pace in January as firms looked to offset rising payroll costs," he added.

    Hiring fell for the 16th month in a row, the longest unbroken decline since 2010. Some firms, especially in the hospitality sector, said rising staff wages and concerns about the broader economic outlook had led to them not replacing staff who left.

    Britain's main minimum wage rate will rise by 4.1% to 12.71 pounds an hour in April after a 6.7% uplift last year.

    While input costs for services firms last month increased more slowly than in December, prices charged by companies sped up sharply to rise at their fastest pace since August.

    The BoE, which is expected to keep interest rates at 3.75% on Thursday, is monitoring services price inflation as it considers the pace at which it can cut borrowing costs.

    Investors are pricing in one or two quarter-point cuts in 2026.

    ($1 = 0.7321 pounds)

    (Reporting by Suban Abdulla; Editing by Joe Bavier)

    Table of Contents

    • UK Economy and Services Sector Overview
    • PMI and Business Confidence
    • Labor Market and Hiring Trends
    • Inflation and Interest Rates

    Key Takeaways

    • •UK services sector shows strong growth in January 2026.
    • •PMI index rises to 54.0, highest since August 2025.
    • •Firms face rising costs, impacting pricing strategies.
    • •Labor market sees continued decline in hiring.
    • •Bank of England monitors inflation for interest rate decisions.

    Frequently Asked Questions about UK economy gathers pace at start of 2026 but cost burdens persist, PMI shows

    1What is PMI?

    PMI stands for Purchasing Managers' Index, a measure of the prevailing direction of economic trends in manufacturing and service sectors.

    2What is inflation?

    Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power.

    3
    What are interest rates?

    Interest rates are the amount charged by lenders to borrowers for the use of money, usually expressed as a percentage.

    4What is business confidence?

    Business confidence refers to the degree of optimism that business leaders feel about the overall economic situation and their own company's prospects.

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