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    1. Home
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    3. >Swedish exports to US could drop 28% if tariff threat carried out, Board of Trade says
    Finance

    Swedish Exports to US Could Drop 28% if Tariff Threat Carried Out, Board of Trade Says

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on January 20, 2026

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 20, 2026

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    Tags:import and exporttrade securitiesfinancial marketseconomic growthforeign currency

    Quick Summary

    Swedish exports to the US may drop by 28% due to proposed tariffs, severely impacting sectors like electronics and steel.

    Swedish Exports to the US May Plunge by 28% Due to Tariff Threats

    Potential Impact of Tariffs on Swedish Exports

    STOCKHOLM, Jan 20 (Reuters) - Swedish exports to the United States could fall by as much as 28% if President Donald Trump carries out his threat to impose additional tariffs on Sweden and some industrial sectors could see a decline of 50%, Sweden's Board of Trade said on Tuesday.

    Trump has threatened tariffs on goods from Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Finland and Britain after they sent small groups of military personnel to Greenland at Copenhagen's request.

    Trump has said tariffs will start at 10% on February 1, rising to 25% on June 1, and would continue until a deal is reached for the U.S. to purchase Greenland.

    At the current level of tariffs, agreed between the EU and the U.S. last year, exports to the U.S. are expected to fall roughly 6% over the coming three to five years, according to the Board of Trade's estimates. 

    Sector-Specific Export Predictions

    An additional 10% tariff would see total exports to the U.S. drop around 16%, rising to 28% at the highest tariff level. 

    Overall Export Decline Estimates

    Some sectors will be hit much worse than others. Iron and steel exports could fall 25% with the current level of tariffs and that could hit 45% if the top tariff level is implemented. Exports of electronics could fall as much as 50%.

    The United States accounted for around 9% - or 186.5 billion Swedish crowns ($20.42 billion) - of Swedish exports in 2024. That made it Sweden's third biggest market after Germany and Norway. 

    Top exports are motor vehicles, machinery, pharmaceuticals and electronics.

    Overall, Swedish exports globally could fall between 0.8% and 1.3% if the tariffs are implemented, the Board of Trade said.

    ($1 = 9.1319 Swedish crowns)

    (Reporting by Simon JohnsonEditing by Keith Weir)

    Table of Contents

    • Potential Impact of Tariffs on Swedish Exports
    • Sector-Specific Export Predictions
    • Overall Export Decline Estimates

    Key Takeaways

    • •Swedish exports to the US may decrease by 28% if tariffs are imposed.
    • •Iron and steel exports could fall by up to 45%.
    • •Electronics exports might see a 50% decline.
    • •The US is Sweden's third largest export market.
    • •Overall global exports could fall by 0.8% to 1.3%.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Swedish exports to US could drop 28% if tariff threat carried out, Board of Trade says

    1What is export?

    Export refers to the sale of goods or services produced in one country to buyers in another country.

    2What is the impact of tariffs on trade?

    Tariffs can lead to increased prices for imported goods, reduced trade volumes, and potential retaliatory measures from other countries.

    3What is the significance of foreign currency in trade?

    Foreign currency is essential in international trade as it allows businesses to conduct transactions across different countries and currencies.

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