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    Home > Finance > Sterling set for best week against dollar since August after data boost
    Finance

    Sterling set for best week against dollar since August after data boost

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on January 23, 2026

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 23, 2026

    Sterling set for best week against dollar since August after data boost - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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    Tags:UK economyinterest rates

    Quick Summary

    Sterling is poised for its strongest weekly gain against the dollar since August, driven by better-than-expected UK retail sales and business activity data.

    Table of Contents

    • Economic Indicators Boost Sterling
    • Retail Sales and Business Activity
    • Bank of England's Rate Outlook
    • Market Reactions and Predictions

    Pound Poised for Strongest Weekly Gain Against Dollar Since August

    Economic Indicators Boost Sterling

    By Sophie Kiderlin

    Retail Sales and Business Activity

    LONDON, 23 Jan (Reuters) - Sterling rose on Friday and was set for its best week against the dollar since August, after stronger-than-expected UK retail sales and business activity figures ended a week of mixed economic data.

    Bank of England's Rate Outlook

    The British pound was last 0.2% higher at $1.3525 and set for its biggest weekly jump since August with a rise of just over 1%.

    Market Reactions and Predictions

    The euro was down 0.36% at 86.73 pence.

    UK retail sales rose 0.4% in December, compared to an expected 0.1% decline. 

    While the data was widely received as a positive signal for the UK economy, Jonas Goltermann, deputy chief markets economist at Capital Economics, noted that retail sales figures can be unstable. 

    "Retail sales are a very volatile series, so you get these big, big, big, big positive surprises, very positive or negative," he said. 

    The latest S&P Global UK Composite Purchasing Managers' Index meanwhile rose to 53.9, also above forecasts, to a 21-month high.

    British businesses reported the fastest upturn since April 2024. Employment in the services sector, however, fell at a faster rate and inflation pressures increased. 

    "The Flash PMI leaping in January gives a further signal that GDP growth is likely to pick up in Q1, as the economy continues to recover from months of pre-Budget anxiety," Elliott Jordan-Doak, senior UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said in a note.

    Friday's data, alongside reports earlier in the week that showed the labour market weakened and inflation accelerated, has put the outlook for interest rate decisions by the Bank of England back into focus.

    The BOE is expected to hold rates steady when it next meets in February. Markets fully price in a quarter-point rate cut by June.

    (Reporting by Sophie Kiderlin, editing by Dhara Ranasinghe and Barbara Lewis)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Sterling set for best weekly gain against dollar since August.
    • •UK retail sales and business activity exceeded expectations.
    • •Bank of England's interest rate outlook remains steady.
    • •Euro falls against the pound amid economic data release.
    • •UK economy shows signs of recovery despite inflation pressures.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Sterling set for best week against dollar since August after data boost

    1What is the Bank of England?

    The Bank of England is the central bank of the United Kingdom, responsible for issuing currency, maintaining monetary stability, and overseeing the financial system.

    2What is interest rate?

    An interest rate is the amount charged by lenders to borrowers for the use of money, expressed as a percentage of the principal.

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