Ryanair profit may come under 'a bit of pressure' if oil prices stay high, CEO says - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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Ryanair profit may come under 'a bit of pressure' if oil prices stay high, CEO says

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on May 14, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: May 14, 2026

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Ryanair CEO: High Oil Prices May Pressure Profits, No Summer Flight Disruptions Expected

By Padraic Halpin

Ryanair’s Outlook on Oil Prices, Profits, and Summer Operations

DUBLIN, May 14 (Reuters) - Ryanair does not expect disruption to jet fuel supplies in Europe this summer but its profit may come under "a bit of pressure" in the current fiscal year to end-March 2027 if oil prices remain high for longer, CEO Michael O'Leary said.

Summer Flight Operations and Demand

O'Leary said the airline, Europe's largest by passenger numbers, does not expect to have to cancel any flights this summer but is continuing to lower fares to boost demand with some customers hesitant about booking holidays. 

Profitability Concerns Linked to Oil Prices

"Our profits may well be under a bit of pressure for the next 12 months if oil prices remain high for longer," O'Leary told a news conference on Thursday ahead of reporting results for its last financial year on Monday.

Jet Fuel Supply and Geopolitical Factors

O'Leary said two weeks ago that he saw no risk of jet fuel shortages in Europe until the end of June as a result of the Middle East conflict, but on Thursday said he was confident that would be the case for the whole summer based on his assumption that the war would soon come to an end.

Pricing Strategies and Market Competition

Fare Adjustments and Booking Trends

While Ryanair is taking "one to two percentage points" off fares into June, July and August, O'Leary said he did not expect there to be a price war in Europe this summer as some rivals were cutting capacity or not growing as fast as forecast.

Customer Hesitancy and Travel Uncertainty

"Close-in (last minute) bookings are strong and pricing is strong but three, four months out, we're having to open up a little bit of pricing to stimulate bookings," he said.

"There's hesitancy out there. Lots of people are unsure yet. If you're traveling in June or July, 'Can I go long haul? Will the Gulf carriers be back operating? Should we just stay in Portugal or Spain or... There is a bit of that."

(Reporting by Padraic HalpinEditing by Ros Russell, Kirsten Donovan)

Key Takeaways

  • Ryanair does not anticipate any jet fuel shortages in Europe this summer and expects to avoid flight cancellations. (lse.co.uk)
  • Thanks to hedging arrangements covering approximately 80% of fuel needs until May, Ryanair remains relatively insulated from soaring spot jet fuel prices. (elpais.com)
  • Nonetheless, CEO O’Leary cautioned that sustained high oil prices could exert pressure on Ryanair’s profits through to March 2027, even as the airline lowers fares to stimulate summer bookings. (in.marketscreener.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Will Ryanair's profits be affected by high oil prices?
According to CEO Michael O'Leary, Ryanair's profits may come under 'a bit of pressure' in the current fiscal year if oil prices remain high.
Are flight disruptions expected for Ryanair this summer?
Ryanair does not expect to cancel any flights or face jet fuel supply disruptions in Europe this summer.
What is Ryanair doing to address hesitant customers?
Ryanair is lowering fares for the summer months to stimulate bookings, addressing customer hesitancy about travel.
Is there a risk of a price war among European airlines this summer?
Michael O'Leary does not expect a price war as some competitors are cutting capacity or not expanding as quickly.

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