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    1. Home
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    3. >PageGroup flags uncertainty as Mideast conflict weighs; first-quarter profit falls
    Finance

    PageGroup Flags Uncertainty as Mideast Conflict Weighs; First-Quarter Profit Falls

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on April 14, 2026

    3 min read

    Last updated: April 14, 2026

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    Tags:FinanceRecruitmentMarkets

    Quick Summary

    PageGroup reported a 4.9% drop in first‑quarter gross profit to £187 million and signalled uncertainty ahead as the Mideast conflict adds geopolitical risk. Global hiring remains subdued amid economic jitters and AI‑driven concerns about white‑collar job displacement.

    Recruiter PageGroup says Iran crisis clouds 2026 outlook 

    PageGroup Faces Uncertainty Amid Middle East Conflict

    By Nithyashree R B and Yadarisa Shabong

    April 14 (Reuters) - Recruiter PageGroup faces an increasingly uncertain outlook as the Middle East conflict https://www.reuters.com/world/iran/ has raised the risk of hiring freezes and caution over changing jobs, it said on Tuesday, sending shares to their lowest in nearly a decade.

    Declining Profits and Market Weakness

    The specialist in white-collar recruitment reported a 4.9% drop in first-quarter gross profit, marking its 13th consecutive quarter of declining fees, as weakness in its biggest markets, France and Germany, outweighed growth in the U.S. and Asia Pacific.

    Impact of Global Events on Recruitment

    A surge in oil prices and disruption of freight since U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on Iran at the end of February began a wider conflict, together with the impact of artificial intelligence on hiring, have delayed recruitment decisions.

    Many people have also become more cautious about changing jobs, especially when salary offers are not high enough to tempt them.

    Salary Trends and Hiring Challenges

    "Salary levels remain strong, although the level of increases offered to candidates were not as elevated as they were in 2022 and early 2023 and, as a consequence, the conversion of offers to placements remained the most significant challenge," the company said.

    Shares dropped as much as 6% in early trade before reversing course to trade marginally higher by 0746 GMT.

    Lack of Confidence and Regional Performance

    Financial Results and Regional Breakdown

    LACK OF CONFIDENCE IS LIKELY OVER THE COMING QUARTERS

    PageGroup posted group gross profit of 187 million pounds ($252.71 million) for the quarter ended March 31, down from 194.5 million pounds a year ago.

    The owner of the Page Executive and Michael Page brands said gross profit in its Middle East business fell 12% in the quarter.

    Europe, Middle East and Africa is the group's largest business division, accounting for more than half of the group's gross profit, with France and Germany contributing the biggest share.

    Analyst and Industry Commentary

    "With macro worries around Iran, private credit and key elections, we foresee ongoing wobbliness in confidence in coming quarters," RBC Capital analyst Karl Green said in a note.

    Peers Robert Walters and Hays will release quarterly updates later this week.

    Additional Information

    ($1 = 0.7400 pounds)

    (Reporting by Nithyashree R B in Bengaluru; Writing by Yadarisa Shabong; Editing by Sumana Nandy and Barbara Lewis)

    Table of Contents

    • PageGroup Faces Uncertainty Amid Middle East Conflict
    • Declining Profits and Market Weakness

    Key Takeaways

    • •PageGroup’s Q1 gross profit fell to £187 million, down from £194.5 million a year ago, marking its 13th straight quarter of declines
    • •The firm cited the Middle East conflict as increasing uncertainty for the remainder of the year, compounding broader recruitment weakness and hesitation among candidates and employers
    • •Recruitment sector trends remain soft globally, with clients tightening budgets and economies delaying hiring decisions amid AI disruption and macroeconomic pressures

    Frequently Asked Questions about PageGroup flags uncertainty as Mideast conflict weighs; first-quarter profit falls

    1Why did PageGroup's first-quarter profit fall?

    PageGroup's first-quarter profit fell due to a global hiring slowdown and increased uncertainty, partially impacted by the conflict in the Middle East.

    2How much did PageGroup's Q1 gross profit decrease compared to last year?

    PageGroup's Q1 gross profit decreased by 4.9%, from 194.5 million pounds to 187 million pounds year-on-year.

  • Impact of Global Events on Recruitment
  • Salary Trends and Hiring Challenges
  • Lack of Confidence and Regional Performance
  • Financial Results and Regional Breakdown
  • Analyst and Industry Commentary
  • Additional Information
  • 3What external factors are affecting PageGroup's business outlook?

    PageGroup cited the Middle East conflict, economic uncertainty, and concerns about AI reshaping jobs as factors contributing to their cautious outlook.

    4How long has PageGroup seen a decline in fees?

    PageGroup has experienced 13 consecutive quarters of declining fees.

    5What type of recruitment does PageGroup specialize in?

    PageGroup specializes in white-collar recruitment.

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