OPEC Increases Oil Market Share in India Amid Declining Russian Imports

Impact of Sanctions on Oil Imports

By Nidhi Verma

Decline in Russian Oil Imports

NEW DELHI, Jan 15 (Reuters) - India's Russian oil imports fell to their lowest level in two years in December, as Western sanctions pushed refiners to tap alternatives, lifting OPEC's share of imports to an 11-month high, trade data showed.

OPEC's Growing Market Share

Lower imports of Russian oil, sold at a discount, is likely to hit profits of refiners in the world's third largest oil importer and consuming nation and push them to turn to suppliers in the Middle East, the U.S. and South America.

Future Projections for Oil Imports

Tighter U.S. and European Union sanctions have slowed Russian oil flows to India, with imports dropping about 22% to 1.38 million barrels per day in December from the previous month, reducing Russia's share to 27.4%, the lowest since January 2023, while OPEC's share rose to 53.2%, the data showed.

Reliance Industries, the largest Indian buyer of Russian oil, stopped receiving crude under its deal with Rosneft in the final 10 days of December, with its imports from Russia falling to a nearly two-year low, the data showed.

State refiners, meanwhile, continued to source Russian oil from non-sanctioned suppliers.

RUSSIA REMAINS TOP SUPPLIER

Despite the drop, Russia remained the top supplier of oil to India in December and during first nine of this fiscal year to March 31, 2026, followed by Iraq and Saudi Arabia.

Some cargoes that arrived in December, however, were discharged in January, the data showed.

India's Russian oil imports are expected to average around 1.2 million to 1.4 million bpd in January, with the pullback looking more like a short-term disruption from compliance issues rather than India moving away from Russia completely, said Sumit Ritola, lead research analyst, refining and modelling at Kpler.

To keep track of refiners' oil purchases, the Indian government is seeking weekly details on crude purchases from Russia and the U.S.

OPEC SHARE RISES

For 2025, OPEC's share of India's crude imports edged up to 50%, from 49% from a year earlier, while Russia's portion shrank to 33.3% versus 36% in 2024.

India emerged as the biggest buyer of discounted Russian seaborne crude following the start of the Ukraine war in 2022.

The purchases have fuelled a backlash from Western nations, which have targeted Russia's energy sector with sanctions, arguing that oil revenues help fund Moscow's war effort.

The U.S. doubled import tariffs on Indian goods to 50% last year as punishment for its heavy purchasing of Russian oil. The two countries are currently negotiating a potential trade deal.

(Reporting by Nidhi Verma; Editing by Florence Tan and Alexander Smith)