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    Home > Finance > Oil prices settle up as US begins holiday weekend
    Finance

    Oil prices settle up as US begins holiday weekend

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on January 16, 2026

    3 min read

    Last updated: January 19, 2026

    Oil prices settle up as US begins holiday weekend - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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    Tags:oil and gasfinancial marketsinvestmenteconomic growth

    Quick Summary

    Oil prices rose ahead of the US holiday weekend due to geopolitical tensions and supply concerns, with Brent crude and WTI seeing gains.

    Table of Contents

    • Market Overview and Geopolitical Factors
    • Impact of U.S. Navy Movements
    • Supply Concerns from Venezuela
    • Geopolitical Risks and Price Predictions

    Oil prices settle up as US begins holiday weekend

    Market Overview and Geopolitical Factors

    By Erwin Seba

    HOUSTON, Jan 16 (Reuters) - Oil prices settled higher on Friday as some investors covered short positions ahead of the three-day Martin Luther King holiday weekend in the U.S. and lingering worries about a possible U.S. military strike against Iran.

    Brent crude settled at $64.13 a barrel up 37 cents or 0.58%. U.S. West Texas Intermediate finished at $59.44 a barrel up 25 cents, or 0.42%.

    Impact of U.S. Navy Movements

    Most of Friday's gains seemed to be due to buying supply ahead of the long weekend, said John Kilduff, partner with Again Capital LLC.

    "With that carrier strike group making the move to the (Persian) Gulf, it doesn't seem likely anything will happen soon," Flynn said.

    The U.S. Navy's aircraft carrier U.S.S. Abraham Lincoln was expected to arrive in the Persian Gulf next week after operating in the South China Sea.

    Supply Concerns from Venezuela

    Weighing against those fears are potential supply increases from Venezuela, said Phil Flynn, senior analyst with Price Futures Group.

    "The supply from Venezuela has not become the tidal wave that was expected," Flynn said. "Buying today seems to be people not wanting to be caught short over the long weekend."

    Both benchmarks hit multi-month highs this week after protests flared up in Iran and U.S. President Donald Trump signalled the potential for military strikes, but lost over 4% on Thursday as Trump said Tehran's crackdown on the protesters was easing, allaying concerns of possible military action that could disrupt oil supplies. 

    Geopolitical Risks and Price Predictions

    "Above all, there are worries about a possible blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran in the event of an escalation, through which around a quarter of seaborne oil supplies flow," Commerzbank analysts said in a note.

    "Should there be signs of a sustained easing on this front, developments in Venezuela are likely to return to the spotlight, with oil that was recently sanctioned or blocked gradually flowing onto the world market."

    Analysts expect higher supply this year, potentially creating a ceiling for the geopolitical risk premium on prices.

    "Despite the steady drumbeat of geopolitical risks and macro speculation, the underlying balance still points to ample supply," said Phillip Nova analyst Priyanka Sachdeva.

    "Unless we see a genuine revival in Chinese demand or a meaningful bottleneck in physical barrel flows, oil looks range-bound, with Brent broadly hovering between $57 and $67."

    (Reporting by Erwin Seba in Houston, Robert Harvey in London, Helen Clark in Perth and Trixie Yap in Singapore; additional reporting by Stephanie Kelly in LondonEditing by David Goodman, Rod Nickel and David Gregorio)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Oil prices rose ahead of the US holiday weekend.
    • •Geopolitical tensions with Iran influenced market behavior.
    • •US Navy movements in the Persian Gulf impacted oil prices.
    • •Venezuela's potential supply increase remains uncertain.
    • •Analysts predict ample oil supply despite risks.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Oil prices settle up as US begins holiday weekend

    1What is Brent crude oil?

    Brent crude oil is a major trading classification of crude oil originating from the North Sea. It serves as a benchmark for oil prices globally.

    2What is West Texas Intermediate (WTI)?

    West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is a grade of crude oil used as a benchmark in oil pricing. It is sourced from the U.S. and is known for its light and sweet characteristics.

    3What is OPEC?

    The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is a group of oil-producing countries that coordinate their oil production policies to stabilize prices.

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