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    1. Home
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    3. >Oil edges up as investors await clarity on supply, Russia-Ukraine deal
    Finance

    Oil Edges up as Investors Await Clarity on Supply, Russia-Ukraine Deal

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on November 26, 2025

    3 min read

    Last updated: January 20, 2026

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    Tags:oil and gasenergy marketfinancial markets

    Quick Summary

    Oil prices rose as investors await clarity on Russia-Ukraine talks and potential U.S. rate cuts. U.S. crude inventories increased, indicating oversupply.

    Oil Prices Increase as Investors Await Supply Clarity

    By Nicole Jao

    NEW YORK (Reuters) -Oil prices settled up on Wednesday, bouncing back from one-month lows in the previous session, as investors assessed prospects of oversupply and talks over a Russia-Ukraine peace deal ahead of the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday.

    Brent crude futures settled 65 cents, or 1.04%, higher to $63.13 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures gained 70 cents, or 1.21%, at $58.65. 

    U.S. crude inventories climbed by 2.8 million barrels to 426.9 million barrels last week as imports surged, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday. Analysts had expected a 55,000-barrel rise. [EIA/S]

    "We are definitely on the road to a rather healthy supply glut, there is no doubt about it, and the crude build is indicative of that," said John Kilduff, partner with Again Capital.

    U.S. energy firms cut the number of oil rigs by 12 to 407 this week, their lowest since September 2021, energy services firm Baker Hughes said on Wednesday.

    OPEC+ is likely to leave output levels unchanged at its meeting on Sunday, three OPEC+ sources told Reuters on Tuesday.

    Offering some support to crude prices were rising expectations for a potential U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December. Lower rates would stimulate economic growth and bolster demand for oil.

    DOUBTS LINGER

    Investors awaited more clarity on Russia and Ukraine negotiations on Wednesday.

    Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy told European leaders on Tuesday that he was ready to advance a U.S.-backed framework for ending the war with Russia, driving both Brent crude and WTI down to one-month lows.

    "The bottom line is, there's still no peace agreement and it's going to be difficult to satisfy all the parties to come to the table and sign one," Andrew Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates.

    U.S. President Donald Trump said he directed his representatives to meet separately with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian officials. A Ukrainian official said Zelenskiy could visit the United States in the next few days to finalize a deal.

    "If finalized, the deal could rapidly dismantle Western sanctions on Russian energy exports," potentially driving WTI prices to about $55, IG market analyst Tony Sycamore said in a client note. "For now, the market waits for more clarity, but the risk appears to be for lower prices unless talks falter."

    The Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC), which handles about 1.5% of global oil, said it resumed oil loadings overnight, having suspended loadings after a Ukrainian drone attack earlier in the week.

    (Reporting by Nicole Jao in New York, Enes Tunagur in London, Colleen Howe in Beijing and Siyi Liu in SingaporeEditing by David Goodman, Will Dunham and Nick Zieminski)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Oil prices rose after hitting one-month lows.
    • •Investors are assessing oversupply and Russia-Ukraine peace talks.
    • •U.S. crude inventories increased significantly last week.
    • •OPEC+ likely to maintain current output levels.
    • •Potential U.S. interest rate cuts could boost oil demand.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Oil edges up as investors await clarity on supply, Russia-Ukraine deal

    1What is crude oil?

    Crude oil is a natural, unrefined petroleum product composed of hydrocarbon deposits and other organic materials. It is a primary source of energy and is refined into various fuels and chemicals.

    2What are crude oil inventories?

    Crude oil inventories refer to the stock of unrefined oil held in storage facilities. They are crucial indicators of supply and demand dynamics in the oil market.

    3
    What is OPEC+?

    OPEC+ is an alliance of oil-producing countries, including members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other nations like Russia, aimed at regulating oil production to stabilize prices.

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