Finance
Oil settles higher as US, China try to de-escalate trade tensions
Published by Global Banking and Finance Review
Posted on October 13, 2025
3 min readLast updated: January 21, 2026
Global Banking and Finance Review
Company
Published by Global Banking and Finance Review
Posted on October 13, 2025
3 min readLast updated: January 21, 2026
Oil prices rose as US and China de-escalate trade tensions, with Brent and WTI crude futures both increasing. A meeting between leaders is planned for October.
By Shariq Khan
NEW YORK (Reuters) -Oil prices rose on Monday after assurances that U.S. President Donald Trump will meet his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping later in October, easing a flare-up in trade tensions between the world's top two economies that had pushed crude benchmarks to five-month lows on Friday.
Brent crude futures settled 59 cents higher, or 0.9%, at $63.32 a barrel, and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures also closed up 59 cents, or 1%, at $59.49 a barrel.
Both contracts fell around 4% on Friday to settle at their lowest since May, after Trump threatened to cancel the meeting with Xi and to impose steep new tariffs on imports from China.
However, U.S. Treasury Scott Bessent said on Monday that the meeting between the U.S. and Chinese leaders remains on track to be held in South Korea in late October, and noted substantial communications between the two sides over the weekend.
"We have substantially de-escalated," Bessent said in an interview with Fox Business Network.
The selloff in markets now looked to be capped by Washington and Beijing's willingness to negotiate, DBS analyst Suvro Sarkar said, adding the near-term outlook hinged on the eventual outcome of the trade talks.
Oil prices tumbled in March and April at the height of trade tensions between the two countries.
"Any reduction in international trade can only be bearish for oil," PVM energy analysts said in a note to clients.
On the demand side, China's crude imports in September rose 3.9% from a year earlier to 11.5 million barrels per day, customs data showed.
Meanwhile, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries kept its relatively high global oil demand growth forecasts unchanged for this year and next.
In a monthly report on Monday, OPEC implied that the oil market will see a much smaller supply deficit in 2026 as the wider OPEC+ group pushes ahead with output increases.
Meanwhile, prospects of peace in the Middle East limited gains in oil prices. Palestinian militant group Hamas freed the last 20 surviving Israeli hostages on Monday under a U.S.-brokered ceasefire deal.
Trump proclaimed the "historic dawn of a new Middle East" after two years of war in Gaza. Still, traders want to see the peace hold before factoring it into their bets on oil prices, PVM analysts noted.
"(Oil) market has been sceptical by voting with price as to any bullish influence on the recent outbreak of violence, it likewise too will wait for proof of a ceasefire that holds for more than just a couple of days," the PVM analysts said.
(Reporting by Shariq Khan, Enes Tunagur, Ahmad Ghaddar and Florence Tan; Editing by Susan Fenton, Bernadette Baum, Frances Kerry and David Gregorio)
OPEC, or the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, is a group of oil-producing countries that coordinates and unifies petroleum policies to ensure stable oil prices and supply.
Trade tension refers to the economic conflict that arises when countries impose tariffs or other trade barriers on each other, affecting international trade relationships.
Brent crude is a major trading classification of crude oil originating from the North Sea, used as a benchmark for pricing oil worldwide.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is a grade of crude oil used as a benchmark in oil pricing, primarily produced in the United States.
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