Finance
Oracle knocks stocks as Fed's message drags on dollar
Published by Global Banking and Finance Review
Posted on December 11, 2025
4 min readLast updated: January 20, 2026
Global Banking and Finance Review
Company
Published by Global Banking and Finance Review
Posted on December 11, 2025
4 min readLast updated: January 20, 2026
Oracle's earnings warning hits AI stocks as Fed rate cut impacts dollar and bonds. Global markets react with mixed results.
By Tom Westbrook
HONG KONG, Dec 11 (Reuters) - Stocks slid on Thursday after disappointing earnings at U.S. cloud computing giant Oracle sounded a warning for AI profitability, while bonds were firm and the dollar nursed losses after the Federal Reserve cut U.S. interest rates.
Oracle shares tumbled more than 11% after hours, dragging S&P 500 futures 0.9% lower and Nasdaq 100 futures down 1.3% in Asia trade.
AI-related stocks were the biggest losers in Tokyo, as Oracle's profit and revenue outlook missed forecasts and executives flagged higher spending - a sign infrastructure outlays are not turning profits as quickly as investors had hoped.
Japan's Nikkei fell 1% with a 7.5% drop in the AI-exposed SoftBank Group, a partner with Oracle on the U.S. Stargate data centre project, dragging on the index. [.T]
Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose just 0.06%, leaving MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan down 0.5%.
"The initial positive tone from a Fed cut...is being overshadowed by Oracle," said ANZ's Head of Asia Research Khoon Goh. "The focus is mainly on the capex spend," he said, which revived last month's nerves about returns on AI investment.
Overnight the Fed lowered its benchmark funds rate, as expected, by 25 basis points to 3.5% to 3.75%.
But Fed Chair Jerome Powell sounded balanced on the outlook at a press conference, easing market nerves about a hawkish message. Wall Street indexes rallied after the rate cut, and the S&P 500 rose about 0.7%.
"I don't think a rate hike is anyone's base case," Powell said.
That left interest rate futures with at least two rate cuts priced in for next year and undercut the dollar, which helped to send the euro through chart resistance and above $1.17.
Bonds caught a further boost as the Fed also announced it would start buying short-term Treasuries as soon as Friday to support liquidity.
Benchmark 10-year yields fell about 3 basis points to 4.13% and two-year U.S. yields are down around 4 basis points at 3.52%.
Money markets had been volatile in recent weeks, leading to a premium on short-term rates as liquidity was stretched.
"The Fed doesn't have a lot of appetite for that sort of thing to continue because it inhibits the transmission of monetary policy," said ANZ Senior Rates Strategist Jack Chambers.
DOLLAR SLIDES
In foreign exchange markets, trade and risk-sensitive currencies such as the Australian and New Zealand dollars slipped in the Asia session, but the yen was firm with eyes on next week's Bank of Japan meeting where a hike is expected.
The yen has reversed a recent fall and rose to 155.62 per dollar in Asia trade on Thursday. The euro struck a two-month high of $1.1707, enjoying an extra boost from comments by European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde that another upgrade in European growth projections was possible.
"The next big cue will be the November (U.S.) non-farm payrolls release on 16 December and whether a soft number can keep market pricing of two further rate cuts in 2026 intact," analysts at ING said in a note.
"Seasonally, the dollar tends to weaken into year-end and with Fed event risk now out of the way, EUR/USD could have that run-up to 1.1800 after all."
Oil prices eased following an earlier gain on Thursday after the U.S. seized a sanctioned oil tanker off Venezuela's coast, escalating tensions and raising concern over supply disruption.
Brent and U.S. crude futures were down slightly, fetching $62.15 and $58.44 a barrel, respectively.
(Reporting by Tom Westbrook in Hong Kong; Editing by Shri Navaratnam and Jamie Freed)
Monetary policy refers to the actions taken by a central bank to control the money supply and interest rates to achieve macroeconomic goals such as controlling inflation, consumption, growth, and liquidity.
Foreign exchange, or forex, is the global market for trading national currencies against one another. It is the largest financial market in the world, where currencies are bought and sold.
The Federal Reserve, often referred to as the Fed, is the central bank of the United States, responsible for implementing monetary policy and regulating the banking system.
AI investment refers to the allocation of capital into companies or projects that develop or utilize artificial intelligence technologies, with the expectation of generating returns as these technologies grow.
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