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    1. Home
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    3. >Explainer-From sponsor to enemy: What's behind Pakistan's attack on Afghan Taliban?
    Headlines

    Explainer-From Sponsor to Enemy: What's Behind Pakistan's Attack on Afghan Taliban?

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on February 27, 2026

    4 min read

    Last updated: April 2, 2026

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    Tags:Geopoliticssecurityemerging marketsSouth Asiatrade

    Quick Summary

    Pakistan’s rare, large-scale strikes on Kabul and other Afghan cities mark a sharp break from decades of Pakistani backing for the Afghan Taliban, driven by Islamabad’s claim that Taliban-ruled Afghanistan shelters anti-Pakistan militants. The escalation follows months of border clashes and reflects

    Why Pakistan Is Attacking Afghan Taliban After Decades of Support

    ISLAMABAD, Feb 27 (Reuters) - Pakistan has been the Afghan Taliban’s closest friend for decades. It was Islamabad that helped give birth to the Taliban in the early 1990s – as a way to give Pakistan "strategic depth" in its rivalry with India. What’s gone wrong?

    Key questions behind the Pakistan-Afghanistan escalation

    Pakistan carried out air strikes on Afghanistan's major cities overnight, officials in Islamabad and Kabul said on Friday, escalating months of border clashes between the Islamic neighbours. 

    The air and ground strikes, which hit Taliban military posts, headquarters and ammunition depots in multiple sectors along the border, came after Afghanistan launched an attack on Pakistani border forces, the officials said.  

    Both sides reported heavy losses in the fighting, which Pakistan's defence minister said amounted to an "open war". 

    Tensions have been heating up since Pakistan launched air strikes on militant targets in Afghanistan last weekend.

    Earlier, border clashes between the two countries killed dozens of soldiers in October until negotiations facilitated by Turkey, Qatar and Saudi Arabia ceased the hostilities and a fragile ceasefire was put in place.

    The escalating conflict is a long way from Islamabad’s historic support for the Taliban. The key questions:

    WHY ARE THE NEIGHBOURS NOW AT ODDS?

    Pakistan welcomed the return to power of the Taliban in 2021, with then-Prime Minister Imran Khan saying that Afghans had "broken the shackles of slavery". 

    But Islamabad soon found that the Taliban were not as cooperative as it had hoped.    

    Islamabad says that the leadership of militant group Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and many of its fighters are based in Afghanistan, and that armed insurgents seeking independence for the southwestern Pakistani province of Balochistan also use Afghanistan as a safe haven.

    Militancy has increased every year since 2022 with attacks by the TTP and Baloch insurgents growing, according to Armed Conflict Location & Event Data, a global monitoring organization.

    Kabul for its part has repeatedly denied allowing militants to use Afghan territory to launch attacks in Pakistan. 

    The Afghan Taliban say Pakistan harbours fighters from its enemy, Islamic State, a charge Islamabad denies.

    Islamabad says the ceasefire did not hold long due to continued militant attacks in Pakistan from Afghanistan, and there have been repeated clashes and border closures since then that have disrupted trade and movement along the rugged frontier. 

    WHAT SPARKED THE LATEST CLASHES?

    Pakistan’s stated evidence and recent incidents

    The day before last weekend's strikes, Pakistani security sources said they had "irrefutable evidence" that militants in Afghanistan were behind a recent wave of attacks and suicide bombings which targeted Pakistani military and police.  

    The sources listed seven planned or successful attacks by militants since late 2024 that they said were connected to Afghanistan.

    One attack last week that killed 11 security personnel and two civilians in Bajaur district was undertaken by an Afghan national, according to Pakistani security sources. This attack was claimed by the TTP.

    WHO ARE THE PAKISTANI TALIBAN?

    Origins, targets, and links to the Afghan Taliban

    The TTP was formed in 2007 by several militant outfits active in northwest Pakistan. It is commonly known as the Pakistani Taliban.

    The TTP has attacked markets, mosques, airports, military bases, police stations and also gained territory - mostly along the border with Afghanistan, but also deep inside Pakistan, including the Swat Valley. The group was behind the 2012 attack on then schoolgirl Malala Yousafzai, who received the Nobel Peace Prize two years later.

    Pakistan’s military response and the group’s trajectory

    The TTP also fought alongside the Afghan Taliban against U.S.-led forces in Afghanistan and hosted Afghan fighters in Pakistan. Pakistan has launched military operations against the TTP on its own soil with limited success, although an offensive that ended in 2016 drastically reduced attacks till a few years ago.

    WHAT MIGHT HAPPEN NEXT?

    Possible escalation scenarios and relative military balance

    Pakistan is likely to intensify its military campaign, analysts say, while Kabul's retaliation could come in the way of raids on border posts and more cross-border guerrilla attacks to target security forces. 

    On paper, there is a wide mismatch between the military capabilities of two sides. At 172,000, the Taliban have less than a third of Pakistan's personnel.  

    The Taliban do possess at least six aircraft and 23 helicopters but their condition is unknown and they have no fighter jets or effective air force.

    Pakistan's armed forces include more than 600,000 active personnel, have more than 6,000 armoured fighting vehicles and more than 400 combat aircraft, according to 2025 data from the International Institute for Strategic Studies. The country is also nuclear armed.

    (Reporting by Lucy Craymer, Saad Sayeed and Asif Shahzad; Editing by Raju Gopalakrishnan)

    References

    • Pakistan bombs Kabul and Taliban strongholds
    • National Counterterrorism Center | Terrorist Groups
    • Pakistan battles rising militancy that risks spreading beyond the frontiers | ACLED

    Table of Contents

    • Key questions behind the Pakistan-Afghanistan escalation

    Key Takeaways

    • •The rupture is rooted in Pakistan’s security calculus: Islamabad accuses Taliban authorities of tolerating (or being unable to restrain) Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) sanctuaries in eastern Afghanistan, while Kabul denies complicity and counters that Pakistan harbors Islamic State-linked militants. (dni.gov)
    • •

    Frequently Asked Questions about Explainer-From sponsor to enemy: What's behind Pakistan's attack on Afghan Taliban?

    1Why are Pakistan and the Afghan Taliban now at odds?

    Islamabad says TTP leaders and fighters are based in Afghanistan and that Baloch insurgents also use Afghan territory as a safe haven, while Kabul denies allowing militants to attack Pakistan.

    2What sparked the latest Pakistan-Afghanistan clashes?
  • WHY ARE THE NEIGHBOURS NOW AT ODDS?
  • WHAT SPARKED THE LATEST CLASHES?
  • Pakistan’s stated evidence and recent incidents
  • WHO ARE THE PAKISTANI TALIBAN?
  • Origins, targets, and links to the Afghan Taliban
  • Pakistan’s military response and the group’s trajectory
  • WHAT MIGHT HAPPEN NEXT?
  • Possible escalation scenarios and relative military balance
  • The latest escalation is unusually direct and geographically expansive—reports describe strikes hitting targets in Kabul and Kandahar alongside border sectors—signaling Pakistan is treating the Taliban as a state adversary rather than a manageable neighbor. (ft.com)
  • •The fighting is unfolding amid a measurable upswing in Pakistan’s broader militancy and border volatility: ACLED reports higher levels of militant violence in 2025 than 2024 and a sharp rise in Afghanistan–Pakistan border clashes, adding pressure on Islamabad to respond forcefully. (acleddata.com)
  • Pakistani security sources cited what they called irrefutable evidence linking militants in Afghanistan to a wave of attacks and suicide bombings on Pakistani forces, including an attack in Bajaur claimed by the TTP.

    3Who are the Pakistani Taliban (TTP)?

    The TTP was formed in 2007 from several militant outfits in northwest Pakistan and has attacked civilian and military targets; it was behind the 2012 attack on Malala Yousafzai and fought alongside the Afghan Taliban against U.S.-led forces.

    4How have border clashes affected trade and movement?

    The article says repeated clashes and border closures have disrupted trade and movement along the rugged frontier, despite a fragile ceasefire facilitated by Turkey, Qatar and Saudi Arabia.

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