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    Home > Finance > Euro zone inflation ticks up, pointing to steady ECB rates
    Finance

    Euro zone inflation ticks up, pointing to steady ECB rates

    Published by Global Banking and Finance Review

    Posted on December 2, 2025

    3 min read

    Last updated: January 20, 2026

    Euro zone inflation ticks up, pointing to steady ECB rates - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
    Tags:monetary policyEuropean Central Bankeconomic growthfinancial markets

    Quick Summary

    Euro zone inflation rose to 2.2%, likely keeping ECB rates steady. Energy prices fall, but services inflation remains high.

    Euro Zone Inflation Rises, Suggesting Steady ECB Rates

    FRANKFURT, Dec 2 (Reuters) - Euro zone inflation unexpectedly ticked up last month, likely solidifying bets that no further European Central Bank rate cuts are coming anytime soon, data from Eurostat showed on Tuesday.

    Inflation in the 20 nations sharing the euro accelerated to 2.2% from 2.1% a month earlier, hovering near the ECB's 2% goal for most of this year, as falling energy prices offset still robust domestic price pressures, particularly in services.

    Underlying figures, which exclude volatile food and fuel prices held steady at 2.4% on continued quick price growth in services but muted figures for durable goods.

    The figures confirm the ECB's own view that inflation is largely defeated and policymakers now have ample time to watch price developments unfold before contemplating any further action.

    This is why markets see almost no chance of a cut in the ECB's 2% deposit rate at the bank's last meeting for the year on December 18 and see only a one-in-four chance of any easing next year.

    The ECB has cut rates by a combined 2 percentage points in the year to June but has been on the sidelines ever since.

    BELOW TARGET INFLATION IN 2026

    Rate cut talk may get a new lease on life early next year, however, when inflation is set to dip below target on the continued fall in energy costs.

    This is seen as a temporary undershooting and the bank tends to look past energy-induced price volatility. But some worry that excessively low figures could weigh on expectations, making low inflation self-perpetuating.

    Natural gas prices are now more than 40% lower than a year ago and crude oil is down by over 10%, suggesting that plenty of energy deflation is yet to come.

    Energy prices were down by 0.5% in November from a year earlier, while services inflation was 3.5% and unprocessed food prices were up 3.3%.

    Inflation in non-energy industrial goods, watched to see the impact of Chinese dumping, was 0.6%.

    A long list of policymakers have said that the ECB can live with small deviations as long as underlying trends point to a return to target.

    Policymaker confidence is held up by relatively upbeat economic data, which suggest that the bloc is weathering exceptionally high uncertainty quite well.

    While the economy is not booming, surveys and hard data continue to point to decent expansion near the bloc's potential, which is somewhere in the 1% to 1.5% range.

    Growth is also supported by a relatively tight labour market and separate data from Eurostat showed that the jobless rate inched up to 6.4% in October.

    (Reporting by Balazs Koranyi; Editing by Sharon Singleton)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Euro zone inflation increased to 2.2% last month.
    • •ECB unlikely to cut rates soon, maintaining the 2% deposit rate.
    • •Energy prices are falling, but services inflation remains high.
    • •Economic growth is supported by a tight labor market.
    • •Inflation may dip below target in early 2026 due to energy costs.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Euro zone inflation ticks up, pointing to steady ECB rates

    1What is inflation?

    Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power. Central banks attempt to limit inflation to maintain a stable economy.

    2What is the European Central Bank?

    The European Central Bank (ECB) is the central bank for the euro and administers monetary policy within the Eurozone, aiming to maintain price stability and oversee the banking system.

    3What is monetary policy?

    Monetary policy refers to the actions taken by a central bank to control the money supply and interest rates to achieve macroeconomic objectives such as controlling inflation and stabilizing currency.

    4What is economic growth?

    Economic growth is the increase in the production of goods and services in an economy over a specific period, often measured by the rise in Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

    5What is the ECB's deposit rate?

    The ECB's deposit rate is the interest rate paid by the central bank on deposits held by commercial banks. It influences lending rates and overall economic activity.

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