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    1. Home
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    3. >Equinor profit lags forecast, lowers oil price outlook
    Finance

    Equinor Profit Lags Forecast, Lowers Oil Price Outlook

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on October 29, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 21, 2026

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    Tags:oil and gasFinancial performancecapital expenditureinvestment

    Quick Summary

    Equinor's Q3 profit missed forecasts, prompting a revision of its long-term oil price outlook. Asset impairments were recorded, affecting its financial performance.

    Equinor Reports Lower-Than-Expected Profit and Adjusts Oil Price Forecast

    Equinor's Financial Performance Overview

    By Nerijus Adomaitis and Nora Buli

    Profit Decline and Impairments

    OSLO (Reuters) -Equinor posted a bigger than expected drop in third-quarter profit on Wednesday as oil and gas prices fell, and booked asset impairments on a weaker long-term outlook for crude prices.

    Revised Oil Price Projections

    The Norwegian energy group's adjusted earnings before tax for July-September fell 9.9% to $6.21 billion from $6.89 billion a year earlier, slightly lagging the $6.31 billion predicted in a poll of 21 analysts compiled by Equinor.

    Impact on Midstream Segment

    Equinor maintained a projection that its oil and gas output will grow by 4% this year compared to 2024 and kept its forecast for capital expenditure in 2025 of $13 billion.

    LOWER PRICE OUTLOOK, WEAKER TRADING

    But the group booked net asset impairments for the quarter, including some reversals of previous writedowns, of $754 million, "primarily driven by lower price outlook".

    Equinor now expects the benchmark Brent Blend oil price to be $75 per barrel between 2030 and 2040, while it had previously predicted a price of $80 at the start of that decade, declining to $75 by the end.

    The biggest impairment was a revaluation of British assets, including the North Sea Rosebank oilfield development, that Equinor is merging with Shell in a deal expected to complete by the end of this year, taking a $650 million hit.

    In the United States, Equinor booked an impairment of $385 million on offshore oil fields due to reduced production estimates, increased cost estimates, and the lower oil price assumption for the decade from 2030-2040, it said.

    Equinor lowered its quarterly guidance for its Midstream, Marketing and Processing segment, home to its energy trading activities, to an average adjusted operating income of around $400 million, from a previous $400 million to $800 million range.

    "This is due to changing market conditions and earlier divestment of certain assets," it said. 

    (Reporting by Nerijus Adomaitis and Nora Buli, editing by Terje Solsvik and Alexander Smith)

    Table of Contents

    • Equinor's Financial Performance Overview
    • Profit Decline and Impairments
    • Revised Oil Price Projections
    • Impact on Midstream Segment

    Key Takeaways

    • •Equinor's profit fell short of expectations in Q3.
    • •The company revised its long-term oil price forecast.
    • •Asset impairments were recorded due to lower price outlook.
    • •Equinor's oil and gas output is projected to grow by 4%.
    • •Midstream segment guidance was lowered due to market changes.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Equinor profit lags forecast, lowers oil price outlook

    1What is profit decline?

    Profit decline refers to a decrease in a company's earnings compared to a previous period, indicating reduced financial performance.

    2What are asset impairments?

    Asset impairments occur when the market value of an asset falls below its book value, leading to a reduction in the asset's carrying amount.

    3What is capital expenditure?

    Capital expenditure refers to funds used by a company to acquire, upgrade, and maintain physical assets such as property, buildings, or equipment.

    4What is the Brent Blend oil price?

    The Brent Blend oil price is a major trading classification of crude oil originating from the North Sea, used as a global benchmark for oil prices.

    5What is adjusted earnings before tax?

    Adjusted earnings before tax is a measure of a company's profitability that excludes certain expenses and income, providing a clearer view of operational performance.

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