ECB's de Guindos urges prudence on rates in parting shot - FT - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
Finance

ECB's de Guindos urges prudence on rates in parting shot - FT

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on May 11, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: May 11, 2026

Add as preferred source on Google

ECB’s de Guindos Calls for Caution on Interest Rate Hikes Amid Stagnating Growth

ECB Leadership Urges Prudence as Economic Growth Slows

Vice President de Guindos’ Warning

FRANKFURT, May 11 (Reuters) - The European Central Bank's outgoing Vice President Luis de Guindos urged colleagues, in an interview published on Monday, to be prudent when deciding on an expected interest rate hike next month as growth was set to weaken.

Market Expectations for Rate Hikes

Investors see the ECB raising its key rate at its next meeting on June 10-11 and once or twice again by next spring to stem an energy-led rise in inflation caused by the war in Iran.

De Guindos’ Call for Caution

But de Guindos, who won't be at the meeting as his term runs out at the end of May, called for caution.

"My impression is that the data on growth over the coming weeks are not going to be good," he told the Financial Times. "That’s why I would call for prudence: the impact on growth is going to become much more visible over the coming weeks. And we need additional clarity with respect to the conflict."

Other Policymakers’ Views

Other policymakers have signalled a rate increase next month is likely, barring a resolution to the conflict and a collapse in energy prices.

Reporting Credits

(Reporting by Francesco Canepa; Editing by Andrea Ricci)

Key Takeaways

  • Luis de Guindos, whose term ends on 31 May 2026, cautioned that incoming growth data may deteriorate soon, urging ECB policymakers to be cautious before raising rates in June (ecb.europa.eu).
  • Most ECB officials and markets anticipate a rate hike in June unless the Iran conflict eases and energy prices fall—policymakers underline a data‑dependent, meeting‑by‑meeting approach (bloomberg.com).
  • Financial markets expect two ECB rate hikes—June and July 2026—driven by surging energy prices from the Iran war, although the ECB maintains flexibility amid growth and inflation uncertainties (fxstreet.com).

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did ECB’s Luis de Guindos urge prudence on interest rate hikes?
De Guindos advised caution due to expected weakening of growth and uncertainty over the impact of the Iran conflict on inflation.
When is the European Central Bank expected to raise interest rates?
Investors anticipate an ECB rate hike at the June 10-11 meeting, with possible further increases by next spring.
What factors are influencing the ECB's interest rate decisions?
Rising inflation driven by energy costs and the ongoing war in Iran are key factors affecting rate decisions.
Will Luis de Guindos participate in the upcoming ECB meeting?
No, de Guindos' term ends in May, so he will not be present at the June meeting.

Tags

Related Articles

More from Finance

Explore more articles in the Finance category