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    Home > Finance > Dollar pares weekly slide on Fed, government shutdown speculation
    Finance
    Dollar pares weekly slide on Fed, government shutdown speculation

    Published by Global Banking and Finance Review

    Posted on January 30, 2026

    4 min read

    Last updated: January 30, 2026

    Dollar pares weekly slide on Fed, government shutdown speculation - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
    Tags:foreign exchangefinancial marketseconomic growthcurrency fluctuations

    Quick Summary

    The dollar is set for a weekly decline due to global tensions, including U.S. tariffs and geopolitical strains, impacting currency demand and market reactions.

    Table of Contents

    • Impact of Fed Nominee on Dollar Value
    • Market Reactions to Speculation
    • Economic Indicators and Currency Trends
    • Geopolitical Factors Influencing the Dollar

    Dollar Rebounds Amid Fed Nominee Speculation and Shutdown Concerns

    Impact of Fed Nominee on Dollar Value

    By Rocky Swift and Rae Wee

    Market Reactions to Speculation

    TOKYO, Jan 30 (Reuters) - The dollar rose on Friday, paring its weekly slide, after U.S. President Donald Trump said he would soon announce his nominee to head the Federal Reserve and on optimism Washington will avert a government shutdown.

    Economic Indicators and Currency Trends

    Trump said he intends to name his pick to replace Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Friday, following reports that former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh visited the White House. In Japan, data showed inflation slowed in Tokyo but matched the central bank's target.

    Geopolitical Factors Influencing the Dollar

    The greenback clawed back some losses from this week as tensions between Trump and Cuba, Iran, Venezuela, Greenland and Europe caused some investors to lose confidence in U.S. assets.

    "The appointment of Warsh, if it's true, will be seen as someone who can, in a way, remain independent, and not someone seen as likely to be subservient to Trump's wishes," said Khoon Goh, head of Asia research for ANZ in Singapore.

    "Any sensible market participant would not want to carry a big position into the weekend," he added. "So some of this could just be positioning lightening up. If you're short dollars, you've done well, take your chips off the table."

    The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, rose 0.4% to 96.60, trimming its weekly decline to 0.9%. Against the Swiss franc, the dollar strengthened 0.7% to 0.7699.

    The euro sank 0.4% at $1.1916, while the yen weakened 0.42% to 153.77 per dollar. Sterling weakened 0.32% to $1.3759.

    Warsh came to the White House for a meeting with Trump on Thursday, according to one source familiar with the matter. A second source said Warsh impressed Trump, who is vetting candidates to replace Powell when his term is up in May.

    Meanwhile, the White House said that Trump signed an executive order that would impose tariffs on countries that provide oil to Cuba. Reports that Trump is considering strikes against Iran prompted a surge in oil prices and weighed on the dollar earlier.

    The U.S. domestic front got a glimmer of hope after Trump endorsed a spending deal negotiated by U.S. Senate Republicans and Democrats that would stave off a government shutdown.

    The dollar hit a four-year low earlier in the week after Trump seemed to shrug off the currency's weakness, recovering slightly after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that Washington has a strong-dollar policy.

    The greenback ended last week with its biggest fall since last April, driven partly by concerns about U.S. policy over Greenland.

    The dollar found some support after the Fed held interest rates steady on Wednesday against the backdrop of what the Fed's Powell described as a solid economy and diminished risks to both inflation and employment.

    The dollar slide has provided some reprieve for the battered yen.  The Japanese currency has tracked around the 152 to 154 per dollar range for most of this week thanks to talk of rate checks from the U.S. and Japan last week - a move often seen as a precursor to intervention.

    Core consumer prices in Tokyo rose 2% in January from a year earlier, data showed on Friday, slowing from the previous month but matching the central bank's target.

    The Australian dollar weakened 0.7% versus the greenback to $0.6996. New Zealand's kiwi weakened 0.5% to $0.6045.

    Cryptocurrencies slumped sharply, with bitcoin sinking 3.3% to $81,619.01, and ether losing 3.4% to $2,719.87.

    (Reporting by Rocky Swift in Tokyo; Editing by Sam Holmes)

    Key Takeaways

    • •The dollar is poised for a second weekly decline.
    • •Global tensions, including U.S. tariffs, impact currency demand.
    • •Trump's actions against Iran affect oil prices and the dollar.
    • •Federal Reserve's steady interest rates offer some dollar support.
    • •Geopolitical issues influence currency fluctuations globally.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Dollar pares weekly slide on Fed, government shutdown speculation

    1What is the dollar index?

    The dollar index (DXY) measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of foreign currencies, indicating its strength or weakness in the global market.

    2What is inflation?

    Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power.

    3What is a central bank?

    A central bank is a financial institution that manages a country's currency, money supply, and interest rates, often overseeing the banking system.

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