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    1. Home
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    3. >Pound dips as possible Starmer leadership plot sparks uncertainty
    Finance

    Pound Dips as Possible Starmer Leadership Plot Sparks Uncertainty

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on November 12, 2025

    3 min read

    Last updated: January 21, 2026

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    Tags:UK economyforeign currencyfinancial marketseconomic growthunemployment rates

    Quick Summary

    The British pound weakens amid leadership uncertainty surrounding Keir Starmer, impacting economic outlook and budget implications.

    Pound Weakens Amid Leadership Uncertainty Surrounding Starmer

    Impact of Leadership Uncertainty on the Pound

    By Samuel Indyk

    Current Market Conditions

    LONDON (Reuters) -The British pound fell for a second day on Wednesday after soft labour market data the day before and reports in British newspapers that Prime Minister Keir Starmer was on alert for an attempted plot to oust him.

    Economic Outlook and Budget Implications

    Several British media outlets on Wednesday cited allies of Starmer saying the prime minister would fight any challenge to his leadership. Health Secretary Wes Streeting denied reports he was plotting to bring down the prime minister. 

    Labour Market Insights

    "The pound is staying weak and you'd think it probably does relate to this Starmer story," said ING head of research Chris Turner.

    Bank of England's Position

    "The uncertainty around the post-budget environment demands extra risk premium for sterling."

    The pound was last down 0.2% against the dollar to $1.3125. 

    Against the euro , sterling slipped as much as 0.2% to 88.26 pence, close to its lowest level in 2-1/2 years.

    BUDGET IN FOCUS

    Sterling is still sitting on a hefty 5% gain against the dollar this year, but angst is rising ahead of the November 26 budget, where tax rises are expected to be needed to balance the public accounts.

    The outlook for the public finances has deteriorated because of previous plans to water down welfare spending cuts and an expected cut to productivity forecast by Britain's budget watchdog. 

    British bonds were underperforming peers in Europe and the U.S. on Wednesday, with the 10-year gilt yield up 3 basis points. Bond yields move inversely with prices.

    BOE DECEMBER CUT STILL ON RADAR

    Markets were placing about a 75% chance of a quarter-point reduction in borrowing costs from the Bank of England next month after Tuesday's labour market data that showed a tick up in the unemployment rate to 5%. 

    Meanwhile, pay growth, excluding bonuses, slowed to 4.6% in the three months to September.  

    The pound fell against both the dollar and euro on Tuesday as the data provided hints that inflation pressures were easing.

    "We think the UK economy is weaker relative to the euro area, which should pave the way for a weaker pound here," said Mohamad Al-Saraf, FX strategist at Danske Bank.

    In remarks on Tuesday, BoE rate-setter Megan Greene welcomed the fall in wage growth, although she showed concern about surveys pointing towards relatively high pay settlements next year. Greene voted with the majority to keep the Bank Rate unchanged at last week's policy meeting.

    (Reporting by Samuel Indyk; editing by Philippa Fletcher)

    Table of Contents

    • Impact of Leadership Uncertainty on the Pound
    • Current Market Conditions
    • Economic Outlook and Budget Implications
    • Labour Market Insights
    • Bank of England's Position

    Key Takeaways

    • •The British pound fell for a second day amid leadership uncertainty.
    • •Reports suggest a potential plot against Prime Minister Keir Starmer.
    • •Economic outlook is affected by upcoming budget and labour data.
    • •Sterling remains weak against both the dollar and euro.
    • •Bank of England's potential rate cut is still on the radar.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Pound dips as possible Starmer leadership plot sparks uncertainty

    1What is the British pound?

    The British pound, often referred to as GBP, is the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is one of the world's oldest currencies still in use and is subdivided into 100 pence.

    2What are bond yields?

    Bond yields represent the return an investor can expect from a bond. It is typically expressed as an annual percentage and varies inversely with the bond's price.

    3What is inflation?

    Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power. It is typically measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

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