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    Home > Finance > UK shop inflation cooled in November but prices likely to rise in 2026, BRC says
    Finance

    UK shop inflation cooled in November but prices likely to rise in 2026, BRC says

    Published by Global Banking and Finance Review

    Posted on December 2, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 20, 2026

    UK shop inflation cooled in November but prices likely to rise in 2026, BRC says - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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    Tags:retailersUK economyfinancial management

    Quick Summary

    UK shop inflation eased to 0.6% in November, but rising costs in 2026 could challenge retailers. Food inflation fell to 3%, with non-food prices dropping by 0.6%.

    UK Shop Inflation Drops in November, Future Challenges Loom

    LONDON, Dec 2 (Reuters) - British store chains last month reported lower inflation in the run up to Black Friday sales but higher costs in 2026 mean retailers might struggle to keep inflation on its downward path, the British Retail Consortium said on Tuesday.

    Annual shop price inflation of 0.6% in the 12 months to November followed a 1% rise in the 12 months to October, the BRC said.

    Food inflation fell to 3% in November from 3.7%, with fresh food prices dropping by the most since December 2020, although prices for other items including oils, and meats and fish continued to accelerate as producers passed on higher costs to consumers.

    The Bank of England is watching food prices closely as it believes they have a big role in shaping public inflation expectations. Britain's headline inflation rate fell to 3.6% in October.

    Prices of non-food items fell by 0.6%.

    The BRC said retailers kicked off Black Friday deals earlier than expected. But official data published ahead of finance minister Rachel Reeves' budget showed a drop in retail sales and consumer confidence in October.

    "With Budget uncertainty behind us, retailers are hoping that consumer confidence rebounds in this crucial trading period and they will continue doing everything they can to keep prices down and help customer' money go further this Christmas," Helen Dickinson, Chief Executive of the BRC, said.

    "Headwinds in the new year include rising employment costs which are likely to filter through to prices. This could shake already weak consumer confidence and present further challenges for consumers in the year ahead."

    Britain's food retailers have said that higher employer taxes and regulatory costs as well as increased staff wages, ordered by Reeves in her first budget in October 2024, are adding to inflationary pressure from higher prices for commodities.

    Reeves announced more than 26 billion pounds in tax rises on November 26 that will take more money from workers, people saving for a pension and investors.

    (Reporting by Suban Abdulla, editing by Andy Bruce)

    Key Takeaways

    • •UK shop inflation decreased to 0.6% in November.
    • •Food inflation fell from 3.7% to 3%.
    • •Non-food item prices dropped by 0.6%.
    • •Retailers face rising employment costs in 2026.
    • •Consumer confidence remains fragile post-budget.

    Frequently Asked Questions about UK shop inflation cooled in November but prices likely to rise in 2026, BRC says

    1What is inflation?

    Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, leading to a decrease in purchasing power.

    2What is consumer confidence?

    Consumer confidence measures how optimistic or pessimistic consumers are regarding their expected financial situation and the overall economy.

    3What is the British Retail Consortium (BRC)?

    The British Retail Consortium (BRC) is a trade association representing the retail industry in the UK, providing insights and data on retail trends.

    4What is food inflation?

    Food inflation is the increase in the price of food items over time, which can significantly impact overall inflation rates.

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