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    Home > Finance > Goldman Sachs revises BoE call, forecasts rate cut in November
    Finance

    Goldman Sachs revises BoE call, forecasts rate cut in November

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on October 29, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 21, 2026

    Goldman Sachs revises BoE call, forecasts rate cut in November - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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    Tags:monetary policyinterest ratesUK economyfinancial markets

    Quick Summary

    Goldman Sachs forecasts a BoE rate cut in November due to weaker inflation data and economic strain, with rates potentially dropping to 3% by 2026.

    Table of Contents

    • Goldman Sachs' Updated Rate Cut Predictions
    • Impact of Inflation Data
    • Market Expectations for Rate Cuts
    • Economic Implications of Budget Announcement

    Goldman Sachs Adjusts Forecast, Sees BoE Rate Cut in November

    Goldman Sachs' Updated Rate Cut Predictions

    (Reuters) -Goldman Sachs said on Tuesday it now expects the Bank of England (BoE) to trim rates by 25 basis points in November, after last week's softer-than-expected inflation data and signs of labour market strain.

    Impact of Inflation Data

    British consumer inflation stood at 3.8% in September, below the central bank's forecast of 4%, raising prospects for a rate cut in November.Goldman, in September, said they expected the BoE to hold rates steady through 2025 before beginning to ease in 2026, "Since then, however, the incoming information has been notably weaker than anticipated"

    Market Expectations for Rate Cuts

    They added that they expect Britain's budget, announced next month, "will deliver a large, contractionary impulse to the economy."

    Economic Implications of Budget Announcement

    The Wall Street brokerage now anticipates that the BoE will cut its Bank Rate quarterly to 3% by July 2026 from the current 4%.

    Current market pricing indicates around a 40% chance of a 25 basis point BoE rate cut in November, but around a 70% chance of such a cut in either November or December.

    Top brokerages, including J.P.Morgan and Morgan Stanley, had earlier expected no further rate cuts this year after the BoE left its key rate unchanged in September.

    (Reporting by Joel Jose in Bengaluru; Editing by Sumana Nandy and Alun John)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Goldman Sachs expects a BoE rate cut in November.
    • •UK inflation data is weaker than expected.
    • •The UK budget may contract the economy.
    • •BoE rates could drop to 3% by July 2026.
    • •Market pricing shows a 40% chance of a rate cut.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Goldman Sachs revises BoE call, forecasts rate cut in November

    1What is monetary policy?

    Monetary policy refers to the actions taken by a central bank, like the Bank of England, to manage the money supply and interest rates to achieve economic objectives such as controlling inflation and stabilizing the currency.

    2What are interest rates?

    Interest rates are the cost of borrowing money, expressed as a percentage of the amount borrowed. They are set by central banks and can influence economic activity, including consumer spending and investment.

    3What is inflation?

    Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power. It is typically measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) or the Retail Price Index (RPI).

    4What are financial markets?

    Financial markets are platforms where buyers and sellers engage in the trade of assets such as stocks, bonds, currencies, and derivatives. They play a crucial role in the economy by facilitating capital allocation and liquidity.

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