Arm shares slides as concerns over AI chip supply overshadow upbeat forecast - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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Arm shares slides as concerns over AI chip supply overshadow upbeat forecast

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on May 7, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: May 7, 2026

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Arm shares slide on smartphone market weakness, AI chip supply concerns

Arm Faces Market and Supply Chain Challenges Amid AI Expansion

Stock Performance and Market Impact

May 7 (Reuters) - Arm shares tumbled on Thursday after the company warned of smartphone market softness and challenges in securing supply for its new artificial intelligence chip to meet growing demand.

The stock fell 5% to $225.43, with the drop set to erase more than $12 billion from the company's market valuation of $252 billion.

The British chip designer's shares have more than doubled in value this year, outperforming other chip majors.

AI Push and Product Development

Expansion into Agentic AI

Arm has doubled down on its AI push this year with a new data center chip for so-called agentic AI — systems capable of working autonomously — after long being a provider of semiconductor designs used by the likes of Qualcomm.

Supply Chain and Manufacturing Concerns

While Arm had enough capacity to fulfill the first $1 billion of demand, it has yet to secure supplies to serve demand beyond that, CEO Rene Haas said in a conference call.

Arm needs access to manufacturing capacity, wafers and testing equipment for the development of its AI chip.

The company said the new product is expected to generate more than $2 billion across fiscal 2027 and fiscal 2028.

Partnership with TSMC

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co, the world's leading contract chipmaker, is producing Arm's AI chip on a 3-nanometer technology that is made from two distinct pieces of silicon that operate as a single chip.

Smartphone Sector Outlook

Arm predicted "slightly negative" numbers in the smartphones sector during the call. Its designs power the majority of smartphones in the world, but a shortage of memory chips has weighed on the industry, driving up prices of electronics and slowing sales.

Financial Performance and Revenue Streams

At least 14 brokerages raised their price targets on Arm after it reported a record quarterly revenue of $1.49 billion for the fourth quarter and forecast first-quarter revenue slightly above Wall Street estimates.

A big portion of Arm's revenue comes from licensing its technology to companies such as Nvidia and Apple and collecting royalty payments on design use.

(Reporting by Twesha Dikshit and Jaspreet Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Leroy Leo and Joyjeet Das)

Key Takeaways

  • Arm delivered record Q4 and full-year FY2026 results, with Q4 revenue of $1.49 billion (up 20% YoY) and full-year revenue of $4.92 billion amid surging data center and AI adoption
  • Demand for the Arm AGI CPU has topped $2 billion across fiscal years 2027–2028, but the company has secured capacity only for the first $1 billion, raising execution concerns
  • Arm shares had more than doubled year‑to‑date and hit an all‑time high around $237.76 on May 6, but investor caution over supply limitations led to a pullback despite strong forward guidance

Frequently Asked Questions

What issue is impacting Arm's ability to meet AI chip demand?
Arm has only secured enough capacity to meet the first $1 billion of AGI CPU demand and has yet to secure supplies for further orders.
How is the smartphone market affecting Arm's business?
A shortage of memory chips has slowed smartphone sales, affecting Arm which powers most smartphones globally.
What is the role of royalties in Arm’s revenue?
A significant portion of Arm’s revenue comes from licensing its chip designs to companies like Nvidia and Apple and collecting royalties.
What have analysts said about Arm’s recent financial performance?
Analysts noted weaker-than-expected fourth-quarter royalties and a slower growth rate in operating expenditure.

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