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    Home > Finance > UBS lifts S&P 500 annual target for second time in two months
    Finance

    UBS lifts S&P 500 annual target for second time in two months

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on August 22, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 22, 2026

    UBS lifts S&P 500 annual target for second time in two months - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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    Tags:equityfinancial markets

    Quick Summary

    UBS lifts its S&P 500 target for the second time in two months, citing strong corporate earnings and easing trade tensions, while maintaining a neutral stance.

    Table of Contents

    • UBS's Updated S&P 500 Forecast
    • Corporate Earnings and Market Trends
    • Federal Reserve Insights

    UBS Raises S&P 500 Year-End Target Again Amid Corporate Earnings Strength

    UBS's Updated S&P 500 Forecast

    (Corrects paragraph 8 to say 2026 mid-year index target is 6,800 and not 6,600)

    Corporate Earnings and Market Trends

    (Reuters) -UBS Global Wealth Management lifted its year-end target for the S&P 500 index for the second time in two months, betting on corporate earnings strength, easing trade tensions and expectations of interest-rate cuts.

    Federal Reserve Insights

    It raised the target to 6,600 from 6,200, implying an upside of 3.6% to the index's last close at 6,370.17. In late June, wealth management arm of UBS bank had increased the goal to 6,200 from 6,000.

    Earlier this month, major brokerages, including Citigroup and HSBC, had ramped up their index targets.

    After hitting their lows in April following President Donald Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs, U.S. equities have been on a rally, thanks to resilient corporate earnings fueled by the AI boom.

    As of August 15, 459 companies in the S&P 500 have reported quarterly earnings, of which 80.2% have reported earnings above analyst estimates, according to LSEG estimates.

    "The bull market is intact and stocks will likely rise over the next year," UBS strategists said in a note dated August 21.

    However, they maintained their 'neutral" stance on U.S. stocks, given "the market may be pricing in a lot of optimism already on trade developments, lack of near-term catalysts, and elevated valuations".

    UBS also raised the index's annual estimates for earnings per share to $270 from $265. It lifted the 2026 mid-year index target to 6,800 from 6,500 and EPS forecast to $290 from $285.

    Investors will also be assessing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's address at the Jackson Hole Symposium due later on Friday for clues on the interest-rate path.

    (Reporting by Siddarth S in Bengaluru; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty and Arun Koyyur)

    Key Takeaways

    • •UBS raises S&P 500 year-end target to 6,600.
    • •Corporate earnings strength fuels market optimism.
    • •80.2% of S&P 500 companies beat earnings estimates.
    • •UBS maintains a neutral stance on U.S. stocks.
    • •Federal Reserve's interest-rate path remains crucial.

    Frequently Asked Questions about UBS lifts S&P 500 annual target for second time in two months

    1What is the S&P 500?

    The S&P 500 is a stock market index that measures the stock performance of 500 large companies listed on stock exchanges in the United States.

    2What are corporate earnings?

    Corporate earnings refer to the net income of a company, which is the profit after all expenses, taxes, and costs have been deducted from total revenue.

    3What are interest-rate cuts?

    Interest-rate cuts are reductions in the interest rate set by a central bank, aimed at stimulating economic activity by making borrowing cheaper.

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