Russia's July inflation expectations steady at 13%, supporting case for rate cut
Russia's July inflation expectations steady at 13%, supporting case for rate cut
Published by Global Banking and Finance Review
Posted on July 17, 2025
Published by Global Banking and Finance Review
Posted on July 17, 2025
MOSCOW (Reuters) -Inflation expectations among Russian households for the year ahead, an important gauge closely watched by the central bank, remained steady at 13% in July compared with June, the central bank said on Thursday.
The central bank will hold a rate-setting board meeting on July 25 and is widely expected to cut its key interest rate from the current 20% as inflation is slowing down. The latest inflationary expectations data is in favour of a cut.
Weekly inflation slowed to 0.02% in the latest week, compared to 0.79% in the previous week, according to statistical data released on July 16, while annualised inflation slowed to 9.34% from 9.45% one week earlier.
The central bank expects inflation to slow to between 7% and 8% in 2025 from 9.5% in 2024 and hit the target of 4% in 2026.
Inflationary expectations have been falling at the start of the year after the central bank hiked its key rate to 21%, the highest level since the early 2000s, but rose again in April and May.
(Reporting by Elena Fabrichnaya; Writing by Lucy Papachristou and Gleb Bryanski; Editing by Hugh Lawson and Sharon Singleton)
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