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    Home > Finance > Goldman Sachs sees gold prices surpassing  $4,000 if investors ramp up buying
    Finance

    Goldman Sachs sees gold prices surpassing  $4,000 if investors ramp up buying

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on September 4, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 22, 2026

    Goldman Sachs sees gold prices surpassing  $4,000 if investors ramp up buying - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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    Tags:investmentfinancial markets

    Quick Summary

    Goldman Sachs predicts gold prices could exceed $4,000 by 2026 if investors increase buying, driven by global uncertainties and potential Fed rate cuts.

    Goldman Sachs Predicts Gold Prices Could Exceed $4,000 by 2026

    (Reuters) -Goldman Sachs said gold prices could surge well above its $4,000 per troy ounce baseline by mid-2026, should private investors diversify more heavily into the metal.

    Spot gold prices hit a record high of $3,578.50 per ounce  on Wednesday on expectations of a U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cut later this month, while lingering global uncertainties kept safe-haven demand firmly in play. [GOL/]

    "Gold remains our highest-conviction long recommendation," Goldman Sachs said in a note dated Wednesday. 

    It forecasts gold prices at $3,700 by the end of 2025 and $4,000 by mid-2026, assuming strong central bank buying. However, this baseline view does not factor in a major shift by private investors out of U.S. dollar assets into gold, a scenario that could push prices to as high as $4,500 per ounce.

    It also said that a loss of Fed independence could trigger higher inflation, a rise in long-end bond yields, weaker equities, and a decline in the dollar’s reserve currency status — while gold, as a store of value not reliant on institutional trust - stood to benefit. [MKTS/GLOB] [US/] 

    U.S. President Donald Trump has intensified efforts to exert control over the Fed, whose ability to manage inflation effectively is widely seen as requiring freedom from political influence over interest rate decisions.

    Goldman Sachs also estimated that, assuming all else remains constant, gold prices could approach $5,000 per troy ounce if 1% of the private money invested in the U.S. Treasury market was reallocated to gold.

    (Reporting by Ashitha Shivaprasad in Bengaluru; Editing by Emelia Sithole-Matarise)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Goldman Sachs predicts gold prices could exceed $4,000 by 2026.
    • •Spot gold prices hit a record high due to expected Fed rate cuts.
    • •Private investor shift to gold could push prices to $4,500.
    • •Fed independence loss may increase gold's value as a safe haven.
    • •Gold prices could reach $5,000 if 1% of U.S. Treasury investments shift.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Goldman Sachs sees gold prices surpassing  $4,000 if investors ramp up buying

    1What does Goldman Sachs predict for gold prices by mid-2026?

    Goldman Sachs predicts that gold prices could surge well above $4,000 per troy ounce by mid-2026 if private investors diversify more heavily into gold.

    2What is the current spot gold price mentioned in the article?

    Spot gold prices hit a record high of $3,578.50 per ounce on Wednesday, driven by expectations of a U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cut.

    3What factors could lead to higher gold prices according to Goldman Sachs?

    Goldman Sachs suggests that a loss of Fed independence could trigger higher inflation, increased long-end bond yields, weaker equities, and a decline in the dollar’s reserve currency status, all of which could boost gold prices.

    4How much could gold prices rise if private money is reallocated?

    Goldman Sachs estimates that if 1% of the private money invested in the U.S. Treasury market was reallocated to gold, prices could approach $5,000 per troy ounce.

    5What is Goldman Sachs' stance on gold as an investment?

    Goldman Sachs maintains that gold remains their highest-conviction long recommendation, indicating strong confidence in its potential as a safe-haven asset.

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