Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®
Posted on September 4, 2025
2 min readLast updated: January 22, 2026
Add as preferred source on GoogleGoldman Sachs predicts gold prices could exceed $4,000 by 2026 if investors increase buying, driven by global uncertainties and potential Fed rate cuts.
(Reuters) -Goldman Sachs said gold prices could surge well above its $4,000 per troy ounce baseline by mid-2026, should private investors diversify more heavily into the metal.
Spot gold prices hit a record high of $3,578.50 per ounce on Wednesday on expectations of a U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cut later this month, while lingering global uncertainties kept safe-haven demand firmly in play. [GOL/]
"Gold remains our highest-conviction long recommendation," Goldman Sachs said in a note dated Wednesday.
It forecasts gold prices at $3,700 by the end of 2025 and $4,000 by mid-2026, assuming strong central bank buying. However, this baseline view does not factor in a major shift by private investors out of U.S. dollar assets into gold, a scenario that could push prices to as high as $4,500 per ounce.
It also said that a loss of Fed independence could trigger higher inflation, a rise in long-end bond yields, weaker equities, and a decline in the dollar’s reserve currency status — while gold, as a store of value not reliant on institutional trust - stood to benefit. [MKTS/GLOB] [US/]
U.S. President Donald Trump has intensified efforts to exert control over the Fed, whose ability to manage inflation effectively is widely seen as requiring freedom from political influence over interest rate decisions.
Goldman Sachs also estimated that, assuming all else remains constant, gold prices could approach $5,000 per troy ounce if 1% of the private money invested in the U.S. Treasury market was reallocated to gold.
(Reporting by Ashitha Shivaprasad in Bengaluru; Editing by Emelia Sithole-Matarise)
Goldman Sachs predicts that gold prices could surge well above $4,000 per troy ounce by mid-2026 if private investors diversify more heavily into gold.
Spot gold prices hit a record high of $3,578.50 per ounce on Wednesday, driven by expectations of a U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cut.
Goldman Sachs suggests that a loss of Fed independence could trigger higher inflation, increased long-end bond yields, weaker equities, and a decline in the dollar’s reserve currency status, all of which could boost gold prices.
Goldman Sachs estimates that if 1% of the private money invested in the U.S. Treasury market was reallocated to gold, prices could approach $5,000 per troy ounce.
Goldman Sachs maintains that gold remains their highest-conviction long recommendation, indicating strong confidence in its potential as a safe-haven asset.
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