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    Home > Finance > Macy's forecasts 2025 sales, profit below estimates on inflation, tariff uncertainty
    Finance

    Macy's forecasts 2025 sales, profit below estimates on inflation, tariff uncertainty

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on March 6, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 25, 2026

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    Tags:retailersconsumer perceptionfinancial managementcorporate profits

    Quick Summary

    Macy's forecasts lower 2025 sales due to inflation and tariffs, impacting consumer spending. The company plans store closures and reinvestment.

    Macy's Projects Lower 2025 Sales and Profit Amid Inflation Concerns

    By Ananya Mariam Rajesh

    (Reuters) - Macy's forecast annual sales and profit below Wall Street expectations on Thursday, reflecting a broader trend among U.S. retailers grappling with reduced consumer spending amid the added pressure of new trade restrictions.

    Shares of the company were down 3% in early trading.

    The department-store chain, which sources a significant portion of its self-branded goods from China, is also expected to take a hit as President Donald Trump's newly announced tariffs will likely place an additional burden on already tight American household budgets.

    "I don't think the consumer is going to feel a sense of relief in the short term," CEO Tony Spring said in a post-earnings call.

    Macy's executives said they expect inflation and tariff pressures to persist in the first quarter.

    Retailers from Walmart to Target have also issued cautious forecasts for the year on concerns about a potential hike in product prices, which could deter consumers.

    Macy's said it expects 2025 net sales between $21 billion and $21.4 billion, compared with the average analyst estimate of $21.81 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG.

    The company sees annual adjusted profit per share between $2.05 and $2.25, compared to an estimate of $2.31.

    "The outlook is not inspiring. This company is still struggling and you can't just blame it on the tariffs or inflation," said Morningstar analyst David Swartz.

    Spring, who took over a year ago, has outlined a plan to turn the struggling department-store chain around by closing 150 Macy's stores through 2026 and reinvesting in high-potential locations.

    Macy's nameplate banner saw comparable sales fall 0.9% on an owned-plus-licensed basis in the fourth quarter, while its Bloomingdale's and Bluemercury luxury divisions saw comparable sales on an owned basis rise 4.8% and 6.2%, respectively, in the same period.

    There isn't a lot of evidence that the turnaround plan is "really working", Swartz said.

    The company's adjusted profit per share of $1.80 topped analysts' estimates of $1.53 per share. Macy's is also resuming share buybacks under its remaining $1.4-billion share repurchase authorization.

    Its fourth-quarter sales fell 4.3% to $7.77 billion, compared to analysts' estimate of $7.87 billion.

    (Reporting by Ananya Mariam Rajesh in Bengaluru; Editing by Pooja Desai)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Macy's forecasts 2025 sales below Wall Street estimates.
    • •Inflation and tariffs are key challenges for Macy's.
    • •Macy's plans to close 150 stores by 2026.
    • •Luxury divisions see sales growth despite overall decline.
    • •Macy's resumes share buybacks amid financial pressures.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Macy's forecasts 2025 sales, profit below estimates on inflation, tariff uncertainty

    1What are Macy's projected sales for 2025?

    Macy's expects net sales between $21 billion and $21.4 billion for 2025, which is below the average analyst estimate of $21.81 billion.

    2How is inflation affecting Macy's profit outlook?

    Macy's anticipates annual adjusted profit per share between $2.05 and $2.25, compared to an estimate of $2.31, indicating pressure from inflation.

    3What steps is Macy's taking to improve its performance?

    CEO Tony Spring has outlined a plan to close 150 Macy's stores by 2026 and reinvest in high-potential locations to turn the company around.

    4What was the market reaction to Macy's forecast?

    Shares of Macy's fell 3% in early trading following the announcement of their lower sales and profit forecasts.

    5What challenges are U.S. retailers facing according to the article?

    U.S. retailers, including Macy's, are grappling with reduced consumer spending and concerns about potential price hikes due to inflation and tariffs.

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