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    Home > Finance > James Hardie shares drop 30% as weak US housing muddies earnings view
    Finance

    James Hardie shares drop 30% as weak US housing muddies earnings view

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on August 19, 2025

    3 min read

    Last updated: January 22, 2026

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    Tags:equityfinancial crisisHousing marketConstruction industryfinancial management

    Quick Summary

    James Hardie shares fell 30% as the US housing market weakens, impacting earnings forecasts. The company anticipates a prolonged recovery period.

    Table of Contents

    • Impact of US Housing Market on James Hardie
    • Earnings Forecast and Market Reaction
    • Challenges in North American Construction
    • Sales Performance and Future Outlook

    James Hardie shares drop 30% as weak US housing muddies earnings view

    Impact of US Housing Market on James Hardie

    By Shivangi Lahiri

    Earnings Forecast and Market Reaction

    (Reuters) -James Hardie issued a bleak warning for its North America business and forecast 2026 earnings below market view on Wednesday, as cash-strapped U.S. homeowners put off any high-ticket renovation projects.

    Challenges in North American Construction

    Sydney-listed shares of the fiber cement maker crashed 30% in early trade to A$31.07, marking their biggest intraday decline on record. By noon in Sydney, James Hardie had lost roughly A$6.86 billion ($4.41 billion) in value.

    Sales Performance and Future Outlook

    The company also cautioned that homebuilders were recalibrating their product inventory in line with the slowing demand for construction and remodelling projects, pushing its expectations for a market recovery into the next business year.

    "Homeowners are deferring large-ticket remodeling projects like re-siding, and affordability remains the key impediment to improvement in single-family new construction," CEO Aaron Erter said in an exchange filing.

    "Over the course of the summer, single-family new construction activity has been weaker than anticipated and we have adjusted our expectations to account for softer demand."

    As a result, James Hardie forecast adjusted operating earnings between $1.05 billion and $1.15 billion for the fiscal year ending in March 2026, below the Visible Alpha consensus of $1.23 billion. It earned $1.1 billion in fiscal 2025.

    "The selloff reflects a big miss against consensus and a guidance downgrade," said Lochlan Halloway, an equity market strategist at Morningstar.

    "The market was already aware of housing weakness, but it looks like the trough is now deeper and more prolonged than originally feared."

    Sales of new single-family homes in the United States increased less than expected in June after slumping to a seven-month low the previous month, as higher interest rates dampen demand and housing inventory has risen to its highest since October 2007.

    "Demand in both repair and remodel and new construction in North America is challenging," CEO Erter said.

    James Hardie's fiber cement sales in North America, its biggest revenue generating region, declined 12% to $641.8 million in the quarter ended June 30.

    As a result, the Dublin-headquartered firm's adjusted net income fell to $126.9 million in the first quarter from $177.6 million last year, missing the Visible Alpha estimate of $158.5 million.

    James Hardie, which completed its $8.8 billion acquisition of U.S. artificial decking maker AZEK on July 1, expects to benefit from new supply agreements and product launches mainly in fiscal 2027 and beyond, rather than in the second half of FY26 as previously anticipated.

    ($1 = 1.5547 Australian dollars)

    (Reporting by Shivangi Lahiri and Sneha Kumar in Bengaluru; Additional reporting by Sameer Manekar; Editing by Maju Samuel and Sherry Jacob-Phillips)

    Key Takeaways

    • •James Hardie shares dropped 30% due to weak US housing market.
    • •The company forecasts 2026 earnings below market expectations.
    • •North American construction demand remains challenging.
    • •James Hardie's fiber cement sales in North America declined 12%.
    • •The company completed an $8.8 billion acquisition of AZEK.

    Frequently Asked Questions about James Hardie shares drop 30% as weak US housing muddies earnings view

    1What is a financial crisis?

    A financial crisis is a situation where the value of financial institutions or assets drops rapidly, leading to widespread economic instability.

    2What is the housing market?

    The housing market refers to the supply and demand for residential properties, influencing prices and availability of homes.

    3What is the construction industry?

    The construction industry encompasses all activities related to the building of infrastructure, including residential, commercial, and industrial projects.

    4What is financial management?

    Financial management involves planning, organizing, directing, and controlling financial activities to manage an organization's financial resources effectively.

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