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    1. Home
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    3. >Italy Jan EU-harmonised CPI accelerates to 1.7% y/y, above forecast
    Finance

    Italy Jan EU-harmonised CPI Accelerates to 1.7% Y/y, Above Forecast

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on February 3, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 26, 2026

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    Tags:economic growthfinancial marketscore inflation

    Quick Summary

    Italy's inflation rate rose to 1.7% in January, exceeding expectations. Energy prices were a significant factor, with core inflation at 1.9%.

    Italy's January Inflation Rate Rises to 1.7%, Exceeding Expectations

    ROME (Reuters) - Italian EU-harmonised consumer prices (HICP) fell 0.7% month-on-month in January but the annual inflation rate accelerated to 1.7% from 1.4% in December, preliminary figures showed on Monday.

    The reading was significantly higher than expected. A Reuters survey of nine analysts had pointed to a 1.1% month-on-month decrease and a 1.4% year-on-year rise.

    Official statistics agency ISTAT also reported that in January the main domestic price index (NIC), was up 0.6% on the month and up 1.5% annually, following a 1.3% annual rate the previous month.

    The acceleration in the annual inflation rate was mainly due to energy prices and, to a lesser extent, to prices of processed food, whereas some service sector prices slowed down, ISTAT said.

    Core inflation (net of fresh food and energy) was running at 1.9% year-on-year on the HICP index in January, up from 1.8% in December.

    In the euro zone, inflation accelerated slightly last month to 2.5% annually from 2.4% in December.

    ISTAT gave the following preliminary breakdown:

    Jan Dec Nov

    The EU-harmonised index (HICP):

    Monthly change -0.7 +0.1 -0.1

    Year-on-year inflation +1.7 +1.4 +1.5

    Index (base 2015=100) 122.5 123.4 123.3

    The NIC index:

    Monthly change +0.6 +0.1 -0.1

    Year-on-year inflation +1.5 +1.3 +1.3

    Index (base 2015=100) 121.9 121.2 121.1

    ISTAT gave the following sector-by-sector breakdown for the HICP in January:

    Sector m/m yr/yr

    Food +1.1 +2.4

    Alcoholic drinks, tobacco +0.9 +2.5

    Clothing -19.0 +1.0

    Housing, electricity, fuel +2.3 +0.7

    Domestic goods -0.2 +0.4

    Health spending +0.6 +2.5

    Transport -0.2 +1.0

    Communications +0.1 -5.4

    Recreation +1.1 +2.3

    Education +0.1 +3.0

    Hotels, restaurants +0.2 +2.9

    Other goods, services -0.4 +2.6

    (Reporting by Antonella Cinelli, editing by Gavin Jones)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Italy's January inflation rate increased to 1.7% year-on-year.
    • •The rise was higher than the expected 1.4%.
    • •Energy prices significantly contributed to the inflation increase.
    • •Core inflation reached 1.9% year-on-year.
    • •The EU-harmonised CPI fell 0.7% month-on-month.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Italy Jan EU-harmonised CPI accelerates to 1.7% y/y, above forecast

    1What was the annual inflation rate in Italy for January?

    The annual inflation rate in Italy accelerated to 1.7% in January, up from 1.4% in December.

    2What factors contributed to the rise in inflation?

    The acceleration in the annual inflation rate was mainly due to increases in energy prices and, to a lesser extent, processed food prices.

    3How did core inflation change in January?

    Core inflation, which excludes fresh food and energy, was at 1.9% year-on-year on the HICP index in January, up from 1.8% in December.

    4What was the month-on-month change in the EU-harmonised index?

    The EU-harmonised consumer prices (HICP) fell by 0.7% month-on-month in January.

    5How does Italy's inflation compare to the euro zone?

    In the euro zone, inflation slightly accelerated to 2.5% annually in January, compared to 2.4% in December.

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