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    Finance

    Oil Settles Over 1% Higher as Ukraine Drone Attacks Target Russian Supply

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on September 16, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 21, 2026

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    Tags:oil and gasfinancial marketsenergy marketeconomic growth

    Quick Summary

    Oil prices rose over 1% as Ukraine's drone attacks on Russia threaten supply. Traders await the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.

    Oil Prices Rise Over 1% Amid Ukraine's Drone Strikes on Russia

    By Shariq Khan

    NEW YORK (Reuters) - Oil prices rose over a dollar a barrel on Tuesday, as traders weighed the possibility that Russian supplies may be disrupted by Ukrainian drone attacks on its ports and refineries, and awaited the Federal Reserve's decision on U.S. interest rates.

    Brent crude futures settled up $1.03, or 1.5%, at $68.47 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose $1.22, or 1.9%, to settle at $64.52 a barrel.

    Russia's oil pipeline monopoly Transneft has warned producers they may have to cut output following Ukraine's drone attacks on critical export ports and refineries, three industry sources said.

    Ukraine has intensified attacks on Russia's energy infrastructure in recent weeks, disrupting operations at Russia's key western oil terminal Primorsk last week as talks to end their conflict have stalled.

    "An attack on an export terminal like Primorsk is aimed more at limiting Russia's ability to sell its oil abroad, affecting export markets," said JP Morgan analysts.

    "More importantly, the attack suggests a growing willingness to disrupt international oil markets, which has the potential to add upside pressure on oil prices," they said.

    Goldman Sachs estimates that the Ukrainian attacks have taken out about 300,000 barrels per day of Russian refining capacity in August and so far this month.

    U.S. diesel futures were last up 2.5%, outpacing both WTI oil and U.S. gasoline futures. The situation in Russia could lead to more tightness in U.S. diesel markets, StoneX Energy analyst Alex Hodes said.

    "Should Russian refineries suffer substantial damage, it could increase demand for U.S. diesel exports and potentially sustain the inverted forward curve," Hodes said.

    Also on investors' radar is the U.S. Federal Reserve's September 16-17 meeting. The central bank is expected to cut interest rates, which should stimulate the economy and boost fuel demand. Still, analysts were cautious on the health of the U.S. economy.

    Markets were also factoring in the likelihood of crude inventory declines in the U.S. last week, with official data expected on Wednesday at 1430 GMT.

    A Reuters poll on Monday showed analysts expected U.S. crude oil and gasoline stockpiles to have fallen last week, while distillate inventories likely rose. [EIA/S]

    (Repoting by Shariq Khan, Ahmad Ghaddar, Anjana Anil and Trixie Yap; Editing by Joe Bavier, Mark Potter and David Gregorio)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Oil prices increased over 1% due to Ukraine's drone attacks on Russian ports.
    • •Brent crude and WTI futures saw significant gains.
    • •Russian oil supply disruptions could impact global markets.
    • •U.S. diesel markets may tighten if Russian refineries are damaged.
    • •Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is highly anticipated.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Oil settles over 1% higher as Ukraine drone attacks target Russian supply

    1What caused the recent rise in oil prices?

    Oil prices rose over a dollar a barrel due to concerns that Russian supplies may be disrupted by Ukrainian drone attacks on its ports and refineries.

    2How much did Brent crude futures increase?

    Brent crude futures settled up $1.03, or 1.5%, at $68.47 a barrel.

    3What impact have Ukrainian attacks had on Russian refining capacity?

    Goldman Sachs estimates that the Ukrainian attacks have taken out about 300,000 barrels per day of Russian refining capacity in August and so far this month.

    4What are analysts predicting regarding U.S. crude inventory?

    Analysts expect U.S. crude oil and gasoline stockpiles to have fallen last week, while distillate inventories likely rose.

    5What is the expected outcome of the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting?

    The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates, which should stimulate the economy and boost fuel demand.

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