Finance
Morning Bid: Stock markets celebrate mild inflation data
Published by Global Banking and Finance Review
Posted on August 13, 2025
3 min readLast updated: January 22, 2026
Global Banking and Finance Review
Company
Published by Global Banking and Finance Review
Posted on August 13, 2025
3 min readLast updated: January 22, 2026
Global stock markets hit record highs as mild inflation data allows central banks to maintain easy money policies, weakening the dollar.
TOKYO (Reuters) -A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Rocky Swift
Record highs are popping up on stock markets all over the world, from Wall Street to Japan and Vietnam, and equity indexes across Asia are a sea of green.
Data in the United States and other major markets are falling into a Goldilocks zone of not-too-hot inflation that allows central banks to keep the easy money flowing.
The MSCI All Country World Index of shares reached a new all-time high, as did Japan's Nikkei gauge, which smashed through the 43,000 level for the first time. Bitcoin's cryptocurrency rival ether jumped to a near four-year high.
Traders are pricing in a 94% chance the Federal Reserve will cut its key interest rate in September, up from nearly 86% a day ago and about 57% a month earlier, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
The central bank in Australia cut rates yesterday and New Zealand's is expected to follow suit next week. The Bank of Japan's long-anticipated rate hike keeps getting kicked down the road.
A Reuters poll that tracks the BOJ's quarterly tankan business survey showed Japanese manufacturers' sentiment index improved for a second-straight month, while another report showed the nation's wholesale inflation slowed in July.
Left in the cold is the dollar, still the biggest loser since U.S. President Donald Trump began his on-again, off-again tariff saga in April.
A new problem for the greenback is concern that partisanship will creep into U.S. monetary policy and the sanctity of economic data. Trump has nominated White House adviser Stephen Miran to temporarily fill a vacant board seat at the Fed.
And the White House said it was "the plan" that the Bureau of Labor Statistics would continue to publish its closely watched monthly employment report after Trump's pick to head the agency, E.J. Antoni, previously proposed suspending its release.
It's a light calendar for data and earnings in Europe and the U.S., and equity futures are pointing another day of gains in both markets.
Meanwhile, small bands of Russian soldiers thrust deeper into eastern Ukraine, with Trump planning to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska on Friday in search of an end to the war. European leaders fear the summit could result in peace terms imposed on an unlawfully shrunken Ukraine.
Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:
- Germany final consumer price index (CPI) data for July
- United Kingdom RICS Housing Survey for July
(Reporting by Rocky Swift; Editing by Kim Coghill)
Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power. It is typically measured annually.
A central bank is a national institution that manages a country's currency, money supply, and interest rates, and oversees the banking system.
Cryptocurrencies are digital or virtual currencies that use cryptography for security and operate on decentralized networks based on blockchain technology.
The MSCI All Country World Index is a stock market index that captures large and mid-cap representation across 23 developed and 26 emerging markets.
A key interest rate is the interest rate at which a central bank lends money to commercial banks, influencing overall economic activity and inflation.
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