Finance
Dollar rises against peers after US economic data
Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®
Posted on September 25, 2025
4 min readLast updated: January 21, 2026
Global Banking & Finance Review®
Company
Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®
Posted on September 25, 2025
4 min readLast updated: January 21, 2026
The dollar rose against major currencies after US GDP data showed a 3.8% increase, affecting Federal Reserve interest rate expectations.
By Chibuike Oguh
NEW YORK (Reuters) -The dollar strengthened against major peers including the euro and yen on Thursday following U.S. economic data, which would likely restrain the future interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
The Commerce Department reported that U.S. gross domestic product rose by an upwardly revised rate of 3.8% from April through June, higher than 3.3% initially reported. Economists polled by Reuters did not expect the rate to be revised.
The dollar strengthened 0.58% to 149.77 against the Japanese yen, rising to its highest level since August 1.
The euro hit a more than two-week low against the dollar, last trading down 0.66% at $1.1659.
"I think everyone seems to have a bit of dollar shorts, and at least anecdotally, it added up to more than what the market thought," said Steve Englander, head of Global G10 FX Research and North America Macro Strategy at Standard Chartered Bank NY Branch.
"A year from now, our forecast for where interest rates are going to be is above the market because we think and recent data is showing that there's this real slip between the labor market softness and GDP and output numbers, which are in general bigger."
The dollar index, measuring the U.S. currency against six peers, rose 0.68% to 98.50, hitting a two-week high. The dollar has been slightly higher since the Fed lowered interest rates last week, as expected.
Traders are anticipating at least two rate cuts in this year's remaining two Fed meetings, although comments from policymakers including Chair Jerome Powell indicate a lot will depend on upcoming economic data.
On Wall Street, the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite Index fell.
U.S Treasury yields rose across the board. For benchmark U.S. 10-year notes <US10YT=RR>, the yield rose 2.5 basis points to 4.172%. The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the Fed, rose 6.3 basis points to 3.661%
"Genuinely, there's an issue for the Fed about how fast you want to cut. Normally, when the labor market is this weak you would say it's all demand," Englander said. "And if demand is faltering, it calls for a rate cut. In this case, they have to keep in mind the possibility that there's a positive supply shock, which would mean that they should be careful about cutting."
More Fed officials continued commenting on Thursday about last week's decision to cut rates. Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City President Jeffrey Schmid said the cut was needed to help ensure that the job market remains in a good place. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee said he was not eager to do a lot more policy easing while inflation is above target and moving the wrong way.
Stephen Miran, the Fed's newest policymaker, continued on to press for sharper U.S. interest-rate cuts to prevent labor market collapse.
The dollar extended gains against the Swiss franc after the U.S. GDP news and as the Swiss National Bank kept key interest rates at zero, as expected.
The SNB also warned that U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs had dimmed the Swiss economic outlook going into 2026.
The greenback hit a two-week high against the Swiss franc, strengthening 0.60% to 0.8.
"Extraordinarily bearish events have taken place for the dollar over the past few months, yet the greenback has exhibited remarkable resilience. And this is increasingly a hotly debated topic among investors," Barclays analysts wrote in an investor note.
(Reporting by Chibuike Oguh in New York and Joice Alves in London; additional reporting by John Revill in Zurich and Ankur Banerjee in Singapore; editing by Richard Chang and Nick Zieminski)
Interest rates are the percentage at which interest is charged or paid for the use of money, typically expressed on an annual basis, influencing borrowing and lending activities.
Foreign exchange, or forex, refers to the global marketplace for trading national currencies against one another, determining exchange rates and facilitating international trade.
Financial markets are platforms where buyers and sellers engage in the trade of assets such as stocks, bonds, currencies, and derivatives, playing a crucial role in the economy.
Economic growth is the increase in the production of goods and services in an economy over a period, typically measured by GDP, indicating improved economic performance.
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