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    Home > Finance > ECB's Nagel sees more rate cuts as inflation outlook encouraging
    Finance

    ECB's Nagel sees more rate cuts as inflation outlook encouraging

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on February 25, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 25, 2026

    ECB's Nagel sees more rate cuts as inflation outlook encouraging - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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    Quick Summary

    ECB's Nagel suggests more rate cuts as inflation nears 2% target. Bundesbank faces losses but remains financially sound.

    ECB's Nagel Foresees Further Rate Cuts with Encouraging Inflation Outlook

    FRANKFURT (Reuters) - The European Central Bank has room to cut its interest rates further if inflation eases to its 2% goal this year as it expects, ECB policymaker Joachim Nagel said on Tuesday, adding the outlook for prices was "encouraging".

    The ECB is widely expected to cut rates for a fifth straight time next week after seeing inflation fall from double digits after Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine to just over 2% in recent months.

    Nagel said incoming data, especially the latest developments on price growth, suggested the ECB was likely to achieve its target this year.

    "This would allow us on the Governing Council to lower the key interest rates further," he said in a speech as he presented the Bundesbank's annual accounts.

    "Overall...the outlook for prices is fairly encouraging," he added, while cautioning about "persistently elevated core inflation and the undiminished strength of services inflation".

    Meanwhile the Bundesbank, as the ECB's main shareholder, was still paying a high price for its past largesse in the form of massive bond purchases, and the subsequent bout of high inflation.

    The German central bank posted yet another loss in 2024 as meagre income from bonds it bought when rates were low was outweighed by large interest payments to banks.

    The 19.2 billion-euro ($20.10 billion) loss wiped out the Bundesbank's reserves and was carried forward to this year.

    The German central bank said it expects to record losses for some time to come, meaning it won't be able to pay dividends to the German federal government.

    But Nagel stressed the Bundesbank had a sound balance sheet, including revaluation reserves worth 267 billion euros.

    "The Bundesbank is fully unrestricted in its ability to act," Nagel said.

    ($1 = 0.9553 euros)

    (Reporting By Francesco Canepa; Editing by Sharon Singleton)

    Key Takeaways

    • •ECB may cut interest rates further if inflation hits 2% target.
    • •Joachim Nagel sees encouraging outlook for prices.
    • •Bundesbank faces losses due to past bond purchases.
    • •Core inflation and services inflation remain concerns.
    • •Bundesbank maintains a sound balance sheet despite losses.

    Frequently Asked Questions about ECB's Nagel sees more rate cuts as inflation outlook encouraging

    1What is the main topic?

    The article discusses ECB's potential rate cuts as inflation nears its 2% target, with insights from Joachim Nagel.

    2Why is the ECB considering rate cuts?

    The ECB is considering rate cuts as inflation falls to just over 2%, aligning with its target.

    3What financial challenges does the Bundesbank face?

    The Bundesbank faces losses due to past bond purchases and high interest payments, affecting its ability to pay dividends.

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