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    1. Home
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    Finance

    Sterling Holds on to Gains, Investors Mull Rise in Borrowing

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on July 22, 2025

    3 min read

    Last updated: January 22, 2026

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    Tags:UK economyPublic Financeborrowingfinancial markets

    Quick Summary

    Sterling steadied after gains as UK borrowing rose in June, highlighting economic challenges. Inflation impacts debt costs, raising tax hike speculation.

    Sterling holds on to gains, investors mull rise in borrowing

    UK Borrowing and Economic Outlook

    By Amanda Cooper

    Impact of Inflation on Government Debt

    LONDON (Reuters) -The pound steadied on Tuesday, consolidating after the previous day's rally, as investors took stock of data that showed UK government borrowing soared in June, a reminder of the fragility of Britain's public finances.

    Market Reactions and Future Predictions

    Sterling, which rose 0.6% on Monday, its biggest one-day gain in a month, was last at $1.3493, showing little change on the day. It was also steady against the euro, which was at 86.7 pence.

    Britain borrowed more than expected in June as high inflation added to the government's debt costs, according to official data that is likely to add to speculation about the need for fresh tax increases later this year.

    Public sector net borrowing totalled 20.7 billion pounds ($27.9 billion) last month, the data showed. This compares with a forecast of 17.1 billion pounds for June from the Office for Budget Responsibility, the budget watchdog.

    "These overshot expectations yet again, a fact that should refocus minds on UK fiscal sustainability risks, especially after warnings by the ONS that the 20.7 billion pound figure recorded represents 'the second-highest June borrowing since monthly records began in 1993, after that of June 2020'," analysts at Monex said.

    "As we have noted previously, this is not a sterling positive dynamic, leaving risks to the pound tilted to the downside ahead of Thursday’s PMI release," they said.

    The borrowing figures added to a sense among investors that finance minister Rachel Reeves may have to raise taxes again later this year to remain on track to meet her targets for fixing the public finances.

    A separate report on Tuesday showed grocery inflation in Britain rose to 5.2% in the four weeks to July 13, up from 4.7% in last month's report and the highest since January last year, heaping more pressure on UK households.

    Market researcher Worldpanel by Numerator, which published the report, said just under two-thirds of households say they are "very concerned" about the cost of their groceries, and are switching to supermarket own-label products.

    The numbers align with data last week that showed nationwide consumer price inflation picked up more than expected in June, also hitting the fastest pace since January 2024.

    The Bank of England is expected to cut rates by a quarter point next week and at least one more time before the end of the year.

    (Reporting by Amanda Cooper. Editing by Mark Potter)

    Table of Contents

    • UK Borrowing and Economic Outlook
    • Impact of Inflation on Government Debt
    • Market Reactions and Future Predictions

    Key Takeaways

    • •Sterling steadied after a significant rally.
    • •UK borrowing in June exceeded expectations.
    • •High inflation is impacting government debt costs.
    • •Potential for tax increases to address public finances.
    • •Grocery inflation adds pressure on UK households.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Sterling holds on to gains, investors mull rise in borrowing

    1What is inflation?

    Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power. It is typically measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

    2What is the UK economy?

    The UK economy encompasses the economic activities and financial systems of the United Kingdom, including production, consumption, and trade of goods and services.

    3What is a central bank?

    A central bank is a national institution that manages a country's currency, money supply, and interest rates, often overseeing monetary policy and financial stability.

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