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    Home > Finance > Sterling rises against weakening dollar as traders focus on Fed/Trump
    Finance

    Sterling rises against weakening dollar as traders focus on Fed/Trump

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on August 28, 2025

    3 min read

    Last updated: January 22, 2026

    Sterling rises against weakening dollar as traders focus on Fed/Trump - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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    Tags:UK economyforeign exchangemonetary policy

    Quick Summary

    Sterling strengthens against the dollar as concerns over Fed independence rise. The Bank of England's rate outlook and UK inflation data also influence the pound's performance.

    Table of Contents

    • Sterling's Performance Against the Dollar
    • Factors Influencing the Pound's Rise
    • Bank of England's Rate Outlook
    • Inflation Trends in the UK

    Pound Strengthens Against Weakening Dollar Amid Fed Concerns

    Sterling's Performance Against the Dollar

    By Joice Alves

    Factors Influencing the Pound's Rise

    LONDON (Reuters) -Sterling edged up against a weakening dollar on Thursday as traders continued to worry about threats to the U.S. central bank's independence.

    Bank of England's Rate Outlook

    The pound was 0.17% higher on the day at $1.3502, and set for a 2.4% monthly rise against the dollar in September. The U.S. currency has been under pressure from President Donald Trump's ramped-up campaign to exert more influence at the Federal Reserve.

    Inflation Trends in the UK

    Fed Governor Lisa Cook asked a U.S. judge to issue a temporary order declaring that Trump's effort to fire her is unlawful and to bar the Fed from taking steps to remove her.

    Sterling has also had some support by a pullback in expectations of rate cuts by the Bank of England and buoyant economic data.

    Money markets expected the BoE to keep rates unchanged at 4% when it meets in September.

    BoE Monetary Policy Committee member Catherine Mann said on Tuesday that she saw a strong case to keep the Bank Rate on hold for a prolonged period but stood ready to cut rates forcefully if downside risks to growth materialise.

    "Since the beginning of the year, the pound has tended to move sideways against the G10 currency average, while the U.S. dollar has depreciated significantly," said Michael Pfister, FX analyst at Commerzbank, mentioning concerns about the independence of the Fed as bad news for the dollar.

    Commerzbank has changed positioning around sterling saying in a note on Thursday that the risks of a weaker pound are increasing amid a difficult upcoming autumn budget, persistent UK inflation and cooled-down labour market.

    "The latest data makes it clear that the United Kingdom is in a difficult situation, and our previously rather optimistic view of the pound is probably no longer justified," Pfister said.

    British producer output price inflation rose to a two-year high of 1.9% in June, up from 1.3% in May, according to preliminary official data released on Wednesday, which adds to signs of inflationary pressures facing the British economy.

    Earlier this month the BoE revised up its near-term inflation forecast to 4% for September and forecast that inflation would not be back at its 2% target until the second quarter of 2027.

    Against the euro, sterling was 0.2% higher at 86.40 pence.

    (Reporting by Joice Alves; Editing by Sharon Singleton)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Sterling rose against a weakening dollar due to Fed independence concerns.
    • •The pound is set for a 2.4% monthly rise against the dollar.
    • •Bank of England expected to keep rates unchanged at 4%.
    • •UK inflation pressures continue with producer prices rising.
    • •Commerzbank warns of potential risks to the pound.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Sterling rises against weakening dollar as traders focus on Fed/Trump

    1What is the current exchange rate of Sterling against the dollar?

    The pound is currently 0.17% higher at $1.3502, marking a 2.4% monthly rise against the dollar in September.

    2What factors are influencing the strength of Sterling?

    Sterling is supported by a pullback in expectations of rate cuts by the Bank of England and positive economic data.

    3What did the Bank of England forecast for inflation?

    The Bank of England revised its near-term inflation forecast to 4% for September, predicting it won't return to the 2% target until the second quarter of 2027.

    4How has the U.S. dollar been performing recently?

    The U.S. dollar has been under pressure due to concerns about President Trump's influence on the Federal Reserve and has depreciated significantly this year.

    5What are the risks facing the pound according to analysts?

    Analysts at Commerzbank noted that the risks of a weaker pound are increasing due to a challenging autumn budget and persistent UK inflation.

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