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    Home > Headlines > UK short-term inflation expectations remain unchanged at 4%, Citi and YouGov say
    Headlines

    UK short-term inflation expectations remain unchanged at 4%, Citi and YouGov say

    Published by Global Banking and Finance Review

    Posted on August 22, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 22, 2026

    UK short-term inflation expectations remain unchanged at 4%, Citi and YouGov say - Headlines news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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    Tags:Surveymonetary policyUK economyinterest rates

    Quick Summary

    UK's short-term inflation expectations stay at 4% in August, while long-term expectations drop. Bank of England remains vigilant on inflation risks.

    Table of Contents

    • Overview of Inflation Expectations
    • Short-Term vs. Long-Term Expectations
    • Impact of Food Prices on Inflation
    • Bank of England's Recent Actions

    UK short-term inflation expectations remain unchanged at 4%, Citi and YouGov say

    Overview of Inflation Expectations

    (Reuters) -The British public's short-term inflation expectations remain unchanged at 4% in August, according to a survey published on Friday by bank Citi and opinion poll firm YouGov.

    Short-Term vs. Long-Term Expectations

    The country's longer-term inflation expectations fell to 3.9% from 4.2%, to their level in February, the survey showed.

    Impact of Food Prices on Inflation

    "The decline in longer-term expectations for last three month also suggests that progress is occurring, even if slowly," Citi analysts said in the research note.

    Bank of England's Recent Actions

    There is still a risk that continued food price inflation could push these figures higher in the coming months, but so far it does not seem to have significantly affected expectations, Citi analysts added.

    Earlier this month, the Bank of England cut interest rates but four of its nine policymakers sought to keep borrowing costs on hold due to concerns over high inflation.

    The BoE, in the latest monetary policy report, revised up its forecast for a peak in inflation to 4% in September from 3.7% and said it would remain alert to the risk that the increase in prices could push up wage deals and longer-term price pressures.

    (Reporting by Angela Christy in Bengaluru, Editing by Franklin Paul)

    Key Takeaways

    • •UK short-term inflation expectations remain at 4%.
    • •Long-term expectations fell to 3.9% from 4.2%.
    • •Food price inflation could impact future expectations.
    • •Bank of England cut interest rates amid inflation concerns.
    • •BoE revised inflation peak forecast to 4% for September.

    Frequently Asked Questions about UK short-term inflation expectations remain unchanged at 4%, Citi and YouGov say

    1What is inflation?

    Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power. It is typically measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

    2What is the Bank of England?

    The Bank of England is the central bank of the United Kingdom, responsible for issuing currency, maintaining monetary stability, and overseeing the financial system.

    3What are interest rates?

    Interest rates are the amount charged by lenders to borrowers for the use of money, expressed as a percentage of the principal. They influence economic activity and inflation.

    4What is a monetary policy?

    Monetary policy refers to the actions taken by a central bank to manage the money supply and interest rates to achieve macroeconomic objectives such as controlling inflation and stabilizing currency.

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