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    Home > Finance > Bank of England's Bailey says inflation is slowing, 2025 jump will not last
    Finance

    Bank of England's Bailey says inflation is slowing, 2025 jump will not last

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on February 17, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 26, 2026

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    Tags:GDPmonetary policyUK economyinterest rates

    Quick Summary

    Bank of England's Andrew Bailey reports slowing inflation, with a temporary rise expected in 2025. Interest rates were cut to 4.5%.

    Bank of England's Bailey: Inflation Slowing, 2025 Spike Unlikely

    LONDON (Reuters) -Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said in an interview published on Monday that inflation was slowing and an expected pick-up in price growth later this year was unlikely to embed longer-term inflation pressures in the economy.

    Part of the forecast increase in inflation was due to regulated price increases - for items such as domestic energy and water - while the sluggish state of the economy was also likely to act against inflation, Bailey told regional business news website BusinessLive on a visit to south Wales.

    "The context is not really supporting the view that we will get more persistence, so we looked through that," he was quoted as saying, adding that recent data showing the economy grew by 0.1% in the fourth quarter did not change the big picture.

    Earlier this month, the BoE cut its benchmark interest rate to 4.5% from 4.75% as it halved its forecast for economic growth in 2025 to 0.75%.

    But it also said inflation was likely to hit 3.7% later this year, almost double the BoE's 2% target, prompting the central bank to add the word "careful" to its message about a likely "gradual" further reduction in borrowing costs.

    "We still see the gradual disinflation going on. The after-effects of what happened two or three years ago are wearing off, but it is a gradual process," Bailey told BusinessLive. "And careful was really because the risks are two-sided for me."

    He repeated his view that U.S. trade tariffs could either push up or lower inflation in Britain depending on their impact on the world economy.

    Bailey said he was encouraged by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell saying he expected the United States to implement the so-called Basel 3.1 rules on bank capital.

    In January, the BoE delayed implementing the rules in Britain by a year to January 2027 to get clarity on what the United States will do under Donald Trump as president.

    (Reporting by Andy Bruce;Writing by William Schomberg; Editing by David Milliken)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Inflation in the UK is slowing, according to Andrew Bailey.
    • •A temporary inflation increase is expected in 2025.
    • •The BoE cut its interest rate to 4.5% recently.
    • •Inflation is projected to hit 3.7% later this year.
    • •US trade tariffs could impact UK inflation.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Bank of England's Bailey says inflation is slowing, 2025 jump will not last

    1What did Andrew Bailey say about inflation?

    Andrew Bailey stated that inflation is slowing and that a forecasted increase in price growth later this year is unlikely to persist.

    2What is the current interest rate set by the Bank of England?

    The Bank of England recently cut its benchmark interest rate to 4.5% from 4.75%.

    3What is the expected inflation rate for later this year?

    The Bank of England expects inflation to hit 3.7% later this year, which is almost double its target of 2%.

    4How did U.S. trade tariffs affect inflation in Britain according to Bailey?

    Bailey mentioned that U.S. trade tariffs could either increase or decrease inflation in Britain, depending on their impact on the global economy.

    5When will the Basel 3.1 rules be implemented in Britain?

    The implementation of the Basel 3.1 rules in Britain has been delayed to January 2027 to gain clarity on the U.S. approach under the current administration.

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