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    1. Home
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    3. >US positive on Iran deal but talks still uncertain as ceasefire end nears
    Finance

    US Positive on Iran Deal but Talks Still Uncertain as Ceasefire End Nears

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on April 21, 2026

    6 min read

    Last updated: April 21, 2026

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    Quick Summary

    The U.S. remains hopeful about peace talks with Iran in Pakistan ahead of a ceasefire deadline, but key issues—strait control, nuclear constraints, recent maritime incidents—cloud the path to agreement, keeping oil and equity markets on edge.

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    US positive on Iran deal but talks still uncertain as ceasefire end nears

    US-Iran Peace Talks and Ceasefire Developments

    By Steve Holland, Enas Alashray and Mubasher Bukhari

    Current Status of Negotiations

    WASHINGTON/CAIRO/ISLAMABAD, April 21 (Reuters) - The United States expressed confidence that peace talks with Iran would go ahead in Pakistan and a senior Iranian official said Tehran was considering joining, but significant hurdles and uncertainty remained as the end of a ceasefire loomed.  

    The two-week truce in the war is set to expire within days and despite Iran earlier ruling out a second round of negotiations this week, a Pakistani source involved in the discussions told Reuters there was momentum for talks to recommence on Wednesday. 

    "Things are moving forward and the talks are on track for tomorrow," the source said on Tuesday on condition of anonymity, adding U.S. President Donald Trump could attend in person, or virtually, if a deal were to be signed. 

    U.S. Vice President JD Vance will travel to Pakistan on Tuesday for negotiations, Axios reported, citing U.S. sources and the Wall Street Journal said Iran had told regional mediators it would send a delegation to Pakistan on Tuesday, citing people familiar with the matter. 

    Reuters could not immediately confirm the reports. An Iranian official, speaking to Reuters, said Tehran was "positively reviewing" its participation in the talks but stressed no decision had been made. 

    Market Reactions and Oil Prices

    Oil Price Down on Talks Optimism

    OIL PRICE DOWN ON TALKS OPTIMISM

    Oil prices fell more than $1 and stocks bounced back in early trading in Asia on Tuesday on expectation that U.S.-Iran peace talks will resume this week, after an earlier meeting in Islamabad broke down without an agreement. Oil prices had jumped around 6% in Monday trading on doubts over the talks. 

    Brent crude futures declined $1.04, or 1.1%, at $94.44 a barrel at 0600 GMT and U.S. West Texas Intermediate for May fell $1.66, or 1.9%, to $87.95.  

    But tensions remained high on Tuesday, with defiant rhetoric from Iran adding to uncertainty over whether the talks will happen. 

    Diplomatic Tensions and Rhetoric

    Top officials in Tehran chided Washington over its blockade of Iranian ports and Sunday's seizure and boarding of an Iranian commercial vessel, the Touska, which they called ceasefire violations that were obstacles to diplomacy. 

    A senior Iranian military commander said on Tuesday forces were ready to deliver an "immediate and decisive response" to any renewed hostility from adversaries, the semi-official Tasnim news agency said, while Iran's ambassador to Pakistan, Reza Amiri Moghadam, in an X post said any nation with a great civilisation would not negotiate under threat or force. 

    Top negotiator Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf had in an X post late on Monday accused Trump of increasing pressure through the blockade, saying he was deluded in seeking to "turn the negotiating table into a table of submission" or justify renewed warmongering.

    Negotiation Goals and Ceasefire Timeline

    Trump wants an agreement that would prevent further oil price rises and stock market shocks but has insisted Iran cannot have the means to develop a nuclear weapon. Tehran hopes to leverage its control of the Strait of Hormuz to strike a deal that averts a restart of the war, eases sanctions but does not impede its nuclear program.  

    Washington has not specified when the two-week ceasefire will end. A Pakistani source involved in the talks said it would expire at 8 p.m. Eastern Time on Wednesday, or midnight GMT or 3:30 a.m. Thursday in Iran. 

    Key Issues and Sticking Points

    Iran Demands Release of Vessel, Crew

    IRAN DEMANDS RELEASE OF VESSEL, CREW

    Maritime security sources said on Monday the Iranian vessel Touska was likely to have what Washington deems dual-use items that could be used by the military onboard. The U.S. Central Command said the crew failed to comply with repeated warnings over a six-hour period and the vessel violated the U.S. blockade.

    China, the main buyer of Iranian crude, has expressed concern over the "forced interception". 

    Iran's foreign ministry condemned the seizure on Tuesday and demanded the immediate release of the vessel, its crew and their families, warning Tehran would use all its capabilities to defend its national interests and security. 

    "The United States would bear full responsibility for any further escalation in the region," it said, according to Iranian state media. 

    Regional Impact and Economic Concerns

    Thousands of people have been killed by U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran and in an Israeli invasion of Lebanon conducted in parallel since the war began on February 28. The war triggered a historic shock to global energy supplies and fears that prolonged conflict could push the global economy to the brink of recession.   

    The U.S. blockade of Iranian ports has infuriated Tehran, which lifted and then soon re-imposed its own restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz, which typically handles roughly one-fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas supply. Mediator Pakistan has lobbied for Washington to end its blockade. 

    Statements from Leaders

    Trump's Position on Negotiations

    'THEY'RE GOING TO NEGOTIATE,' TRUMP SAYS

    Trump on the John Fredericks Media Network on Monday said Iran would negotiate but reiterated Washington would not allow Tehran to develop a nuclear weapon. 

    "They're going to negotiate, and hopefully they'll make a fair deal, and they'll build their country back up, but they will not have - when they do it - they will not have a nuclear weapon," Trump said.  

    Security Preparations in Pakistan

    Pakistan has been preparing to host the talks despite uncertainty about whether they would go ahead. Nearly 20,000 security personnel have been deployed across Islamabad, officials said.

    Escalation Threats and Responses

    US and Iranian Threats

    Trump warned on Sunday that the U.S. would destroy every bridge and power plant in Iran if it rejected his terms, continuing a recent pattern of such threats.

    Iran has said that if the United States were to attack its civilian infrastructure, it would strike power stations and desalination plants in its Gulf Arab neighbours.

    White House Response

    White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said on Fox News' "Hannity" program that

    References

    • Trump offers mixed messages about path ahead for US war against Iran
    • Oil prices drop 9% and Wall Street rallies to a record after Iran reopens the Strait of Hormuz
    • US and Iran end 21-hour ceasefire talks without agreement before Vance departs Pakistan

    Key Takeaways

    • •U.S. and Iran poised for renewed negotiations in Islamabad as a two-week ceasefire—effective April 8—edges toward expiration on April 23; uncertainty persists over whether talks will materialize. (apnews.com)
    • •Oil prices have fluctuated dramatically—dropping ~9% when the Strait of Hormuz briefly reopened, then spiking ~6% after a U.S. naval blockade and vessel seizure fueled volatility. (apnews.com)

    Frequently Asked Questions about US positive on Iran deal but talks still uncertain as ceasefire end nears

    1What impact did the US-Iran peace talks have on oil prices?

    Oil prices declined as optimism grew around the resumption of US-Iran peace talks, reversing previous gains caused by uncertainty.

    2Why is the Strait of Hormuz important in the US-Iran talks?

    Tehran seeks to leverage its control of the Strait of Hormuz, a key global oil route, as part of negotiations to avert renewed conflict.

    Table of Contents

    • US-Iran Peace Talks and Ceasefire Developments
    • Current Status of Negotiations
    • Market Reactions and Oil Prices
    • Oil Price Down on Talks Optimism
    • Diplomatic Tensions and Rhetoric
    • Negotiation Goals and Ceasefire Timeline
    • Key Issues and Sticking Points
    • Iran Demands Release of Vessel, Crew
    • Regional Impact and Economic Concerns
    • Statements from Leaders
    • Trump's Position on Negotiations
    • Security Preparations in Pakistan
    • Escalation Threats and Responses
    • US and Iranian Threats
    • White House Response
  • •The U.S. maintains pressure by insisting Iran relinquish nuclear weapons potential, while Tehran leverages its strategic position and rejects talks under threat—raising questions over whether diplomacy or escalation will prevail. (apnews.com)
  • 3What conditions has President Trump set for a US-Iran agreement?

    President Trump insists that Iran must not acquire nuclear weapons and seeks to prevent further oil price increases and stock market shocks.

    4Is Iran willing to participate in the upcoming peace talks?

    An Iranian official stated that Tehran is 'positively reviewing' participation in the Pakistan talks, despite earlier rejection.

    5What are the ongoing challenges facing US-Iran negotiations?

    Significant hurdles remain, including mutual distrust, maritime incidents, and persistent US and Iranian sanctions and blockades.

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